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Postcard : Liechtenstein

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49 Postcard : Liechtenstein

Berlin is vilifying the principality for letting tax evaders
hide their cash there.

Berlin is keen to claim an estimated $ 6 billion in unpaid
taxes on funds that German citizens are thought to have spirited away to
Liechtenstein. Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service, the BND, paid as much as
$ 7 million to a former employee of a trust controlled by the LGT Group, a bank
owned by the principality’s royal family. In return, the BND received stolen
computer discs containing names of people with funds in Liechtenstein. The U.S.
and U.K. have made their own deals, and Germany has offered its information to
other interested governments.

In 1995, the nation’s banks managed assets of around $ 52
billion, by 2006 that figure had surged to more than $ 150 billion. Clearly
there aren’t enough Liechtensteiners to pile up that much cash.

(Source : Time, 10-3-2008)

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Countries see hazards in free flow of capital

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30. Countries see hazards in free flow of capital


In China and Taiwan, regulators are imposing fresh
restrictions on stock market investments by foreigners. In Brazil, officials
have twice raised taxes on foreign investors. Even in South Korea, host to this
week’s Group of 20 meeting, pressure is building on the government to take
similar steps.

As the leaders of the 20 major economic powers gather in
Seoul, an increasing number of them have either imposed curbs or are in the
process of doing so to slow the torrent of hot money into their markets.

Short-term investment is now increasingly viewed as something
that needs to be controlled.

Emerging markets have been grappling all year with the
consequences of a flight of investor capital from rock-bottom interest rates in
Western countries in search of higher yields. Short-term capital investment in
emerging markets — largely in stock markets, which are at an all-time high — are
expected to hit $ 458 billion this year, the highest figure since 2007 when $
784 billion flowed into these markets, according to the Institute of
International Finance.

(Source : The Business Standard, dated 12-11-2010)

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Indian veggies, fruits remain highly toxic

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28. Indian veggies, fruits remain highly toxic


Rampant use of banned pesticides in fruits and vegetables
continues to put at risk the life of the common man. Farmers apply pesticides
such as chlordane, endrin and heptachor that can cause serious neurological
problems, kidney damage and skin diseases. A study conducted by Delhi-based NGO
Consumer-Voice reveals that the amount of pesticides used in eatables in India
is as much as 750 times the European standards. The survey collected sample data
from various wholesale and retail shops in Delhi, Bangalore and Kolkata.

(Source : The Times of India, dated 4-11-2010)

(Comment : The issue is what should the citizens do when the
authorities are apathetic to the consequences. The farmers should be made aware
of the harmful consequences. These also harm the health of the farmers coming in
contact with the chemicals.)

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Soon, pay just Rs.50k for heart surgery

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29. Soon, pay just Rs.50k for heart surgery


Want your heart fixed for just Rs.50,000 by skilled surgeons
in a top hospital with a family member to care for you ? Your wish will soon
come true. For, India’s first low–cost hospital will be up and running in Mysore
early next year.

These state-of-the art hospitals will be built at a cost of
Rs.16 crore, about one-fifth the cost of constructing a 300-bed super-speciality
hospital.

The brainchild of renowned cardio surgeon Dr. Devi Shetty,
this unique hospital will be piloted in Mysore and then in Siliguri (West
Bengal) and Bhubaneswar (Orissa).

Narayana Hrudayalaya has tied up with Larsen & Toubro to
execute the Mysore project which uses prefabricated material transported from
Puducherry. The general wards will receive daylight to the desired levels. Only
the OT complex and pre/post operation and ICU areas will have a conventional
concrete structure. “Most hospitals have huge vertical structures with heavy
air-conditioning. The best sanitizer for a hospital is sunlight and fresh air.
Dr. Shetty said, heart surgeries will be performed for Rs.50,000 and other
surgeries like gall bladder and hernia will cost between Rs.10,000 and
Rs.15,000. While hospitals in Mysore, Bhubaneswar and Siliguri will come up on
land given at subsidised rates, other hospitals will come up on the public
private partnership model.

(Source : The Times of India, dated 25-10-2010)

(Source : The Business Standard, dated 11-11-2010)

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Human development — India at the bottom of the barrel

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27. Human development — India at the bottom of the barrel


The most important takeaway for India from the recently
released United Nations Human Development Report, The Real Wealth of Nations :
Pathways to Human Development, is the ‘crucial and compelling evidence’ that
there is a lack of any significant correlation between economic growth and
improvements in health and education.

In the last few years, investments — and interest — in
India’s social sector have improved. Yet, as the report proves, the work is far,
far from over : between 2005 and 2010 — also the years of economic growth —
India has moved up only one step on the Human Development Index ladder. It’s now
at 119, out of 169 countries and areas.

This year, being the 20th edition of the HDR, three new
indices were introduced to make the process more robust : the
inequality-adjusted Human Development Index, the Gender
Inequality Index (GII) and the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI).

Though India’s HDI (0.519) is above the average of 0.516, for
countries in South Asia, in GII, it is embarrassingly behind even Bangladesh and
Pakistan, ranked at 116 and 112, respectively. The GII reflects women’s
disadvantages in reproductive health, empowerment and economic activity.

With women at such a low priority level, is it surprising
that we languish below on other indicators too ? Equally sad is our MPI : 55%
Indians suffer from multiple deprivations; the average in South Asia is 54%.

(Source : The Hindustan Times, dated 11-11-2010)

 

 

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McKinsey suggests e-payment to plug leakage of government funds

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26. McKinsey suggests e-payment to plug leakage of government
funds


An inefficient payment system is leading to an annual loss of Rs.1 trillion for the Government, and this can be tackled through
an electronic payment model, management consulting firm McKinsey and Co. said in
a report titled Inclusive growth and financial security : The benefits of
e-payments to Indian society. The report was commissioned by the Bill and
Melinda Gates Foundation.

A major chunk of this leakage — nearly Rs.71,000 crore — is
part of the Government welfare schemes to households, the McKinsey report said.

Current payment flows between the Government and individual
households, including subsidies and social services to individual citizens, is
around Rs.13 trillion.

According to the report, transaction costs account for 15-20%
of total losses to the Government and overhead and administrative costs around
5-10%. Leakages account for 75-80% of total losses.

Transaction costs are associated with cash or cheque payments
at payment source and destination, and overhead and administrative costs are a
result of manual payment processing, audits, and payment reconciliation.
Leakages are caused when payments of benefits or for services are diverted to
unintended individuals or groups, the report said.

(Source : The Mint Newspaper, dated 2-11-2010)

 

 

 

 

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Apple flips the playbook, putting mobile technology in PCs

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24. Apple flips the playbook, putting mobile technology in
PCs


Over the last few years, Apple used technologies from its
Macintosh computers to create the iPhone and the iPad, building a multi-billion
dollar mobile computing business that now accounts for 60% of its revenue.

Now Apple is doing the reverse, taking technologies like the
multi-touch user interface from the iPhone and the iPad and using them to
refresh its Mac business. Steven P. Jobs, the chief executive, unveiled two
versions of its ultra-thin MacBook Air laptops. He also demonstrated an early
version of Apple’s new OS X operating system, which will be available next
summer.

The new MacBooks come in two sizes of screens, 11.6-inch and
13.3-inch. They weigh 2.3 pounds, and 2.9 pounds, respectively. For comparison,
the iPad weighs 1.5 pounds. The laptops’ thickness tapers from 0.68 of an inch
at one end to 0.11 of an inch at the other. They have no optical or magnetic
storage. Instead, like the iPad, they are built on Flash storage, which allows
them to turn on instantly when powered up.

(Source : The Economic Times, dated 22-10-2010)

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The art of managing bosses

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25. The art of managing bosses


This communication touches upon many different aspects,
including communicating with your boss, peers, staff and people from other
cultures.

So often when we talk about management we automatically think
of those who report to us. But what about managing upwards ? After all, the boss
can make your life so much sweeter. There are some real skills needed here — and
you have to carefully think through your approach.

  •   Get to know your boss’ goals and challenges. Your boss has goals just like
    you. Find out and remember them. It’s easier to win more resources if they
    can deliver targets for your boss.


  •   Get to know the boss personally. How does he or she like to work ? What
    are his or her interests, likes or dislikes ?


  •   Set goals together. You need to make sure that you’re working on the right
    things. Don’t just update your boss with your achievements. Let him or her
    know where you’ll next be prioritising your attention.



  • Avoid surprises. No one wants to hear bad news. If you’ve got a suspicion
    that some-thing’s not going as planned, then let the boss know — fast !


  •   Talk their language. Every boss has a way of processing information. Some
    like headlines. Others like bottom lines. Find out and learn their language.


  •   Deliver on your commitments. It’s a rare boss who complains about a high
    achiever in their team. Deliver against your objectives and your boss’
    respect for you will rocket.


  •   Go to your boss with solutions — not just problems. Isn’t that what you
    want from your staff ? Show the boss that you’ve thought things through,
    even if you both come up with a different answer.


Always be tactful :

What is tact ? It’s choosing the right thing to say without
offending. ‘Choosing’ is the important word here. Tactless people don’t exercise
that choice. They instantly say what’s on their mind —and wish they hadn’t.
Managers have to filter what they say.

When you find yourself in a difficult conversation follow the
TACT approach.

T = Think — don’t speak. Any first rush of emotion soon
subsides. Get your brain under control and show interest. Do this and you’re 75%
of the way there.

A = Ask questions. There are two reasons for doing this.
First, questioning allows you crucial time to think. Second, you’re showing
respect by encouraging the person to give their view.

C = Clarify your understanding. Use clarification questions
to check that you fully understand the other person’s point of view. “So what
you’re upset about is . . . .”

T = Talk with care. Give yourself time and make sure that
what you say is neutral. Later on you may give your opinion because you’ve
thought it through. But do you need to do so now ?

(Source : The Mint Newspaper, dated 25-10-2010)

 

ICAI must assert itself

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44 ICAI must assert itself


 

The complicity of statutory auditors Price Waterhouse in the
fudging of books by Satyam Computer Services is yet to be proven, although
prima facie
they appear to have been negligent in exercising oversight. But
Satyam is not the first case of accounting fraud, many hundreds of companies are
known to have resorted to cooking their books. In most of these instances,
accountants and auditors who are members of the Institute of Chartered
Accountants of India (ICAI) have extended more than a helping hand. Yet, guilty
accountants/auditors usually get away with a reprimand, and in more serious
cases, with a fine of up to Rs.1 lakh or three months suspension for their
professional misconduct. Clearly, the law is not deterrent enough. Just about a
dozen or so members are known to have been handed out suspensions ranging up to
five years or even life and fined Rs.5 lakh. This would then mean that the ICAI
may be found wanting in taking disciplinary action or perhaps regulation does
not figure high in the priorities. That defeats the purpose of conferring the
institute the status of a self-regulating organisation.


The ICAI needs to assume the role of an independent regulator
more seriously, ensuring adoption of best practices by its members. It must
avoid succumbing to pressures from its members to go soft on disciplinary
measures. Implementation of the decision for compulsory rotation of auditors —
taken by its Central Council in July 2003 and being held in abeyance due to
pressures from large firms — must be expedited. Joint audits for companies with
turnover above a certain threshold has to be introduced to ensure company
accounts become more credible. The quality review board, with members nominated
by the ICAI Council and the Centre, too needs to begin work earnestly to raise
the quality of accounting and auditing, including services provided by the
internal auditors and accountants. Finally, the Centre needs to take a fresh
look at whether the existing structure of ICAI, as well as others such as
Institute of Company Secretaries of India (ICSI), really encourage independent
and impartial regulation and disciplinary action.

(Source : The Economic Times, 13-1-2009)

 

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China is now world’s 2nd largest economy

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79 China is now
world’s 2nd largest economy

China has overtaken Japan to become the world’s
second largest economy, the fruit of three decades of rapid growth that has
lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. Depending on how fast its
exchange rate rises, China is on course to overtake the United States and vault
into the No. 1 spot sometime around 2025, according to projections by the World
Bank, Goldman and others.

(Source : The Economic Times, dated 31-7-2010)

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Buffett warns on US recession

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10 Buffett warns on US recession


Warren Buffett told CNBC that while the US might not have met
the formal tests of recession, ‘most people’s situation — certainly their net
worth — has been heading south for a while now’. Meanwhile, Alan Greenspan, the
former Federal Reserve chairman, told the Financial Times that ‘the rate of
growth in economic activity is effectively zero’.

Greenspan said he was still not prepared to call a recession,
although he said, “The probability that we will experience some negative growth
is better than 50/50”. The former Fed chief said he would define a recession as
‘the onset of a significant set of discontinuities’ in an economy.

(Source : Business Standard, 5-3-2008)

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Inflation to touch 17% by September, says Barclays.

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74 Inflation to touch 17% by September, says
Barclays.


Global Investment banker Barclays Capital has
projected that inflation may surge to 17% by September on back of another round
of hike in fuel prices in the same month. ‘We believe WPI inflation will remain
in double-digit territory until May 2009. We expect WPI inflation of 17% by
September 2008,’ the report said. For the week ended June 28, wholesale
prices-based inflation touched a new 13-year high of 11.89% — much higher than
the Reserve Bank’s tolerance limit of 5.5% for the current fiscal. According to
the report, the government is likely to hike fuel prices by 10-20% again as
early as September to limit fiscal risks. Rise in the price of the Indian crude
oil basket to $ 145-150 per barrel from the current $ 132 per barrel could be
the trigger for another round of increase in fuel prices, it said.

(Source : The Economic Times, 14-7-2008)

 

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UK urges return to wartime frugality.

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73 UK urges return to wartime
frugality.



Waste not, want not. Evoking an era of World War II
austerity, British families are being urged to cut food waste and use leftovers
in a nationwide effort to fight sharply rising global food prices.


With food and energy prices soaring around the
world, a constant supply of high-quality, affordable food is no longer
guaranteed, the officials are warning Britons.

Tim Lang, professor of food policy at London’s City
University, said junk food will remain readily available, but good-quality,
nutritious produce could become scarce worldwide. The government says the public
might find one solution by looking into their garbage pail. Britons throw out
4.5 million tonnes of edible food a year, or about $ 830 worth per home —
wastefulness the government says contributes substantially to rising prices.

(Source : The Times of India, 13-7-2008)

 

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Time demands reforms, not foreign bond issues

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There are proposals for the government to issue sovereign bonds overseas to prop up the rupee and shore up its foreign exchange reserves. It should not. Economies in Europe have been wrecked by the whims of rating agencies and bond traders because their currencies float free of capital controls and their governments borrow overseas in huge amounts. When the going is good, this provides ample liquidity — and the temptation to be profligate. This can turn around horribly, as Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain realised, when raters and markets turn against you.

As costs of repayment and interest soar, exchequers can be wiped out. The most important reason why India was relatively insulated from the global meltdown of 2008-09 was because our capital controls restricted the amounts which the government and companies could have borrowed globally; this insulated us from the devastating downgrades and bond market movements that damaged European economies.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 15-07-2013) 


Dump Surplus Grain, dump the minister

It is scandalous that inflation in cereals remains above 17 per cent even as food grain stocks with the Centre are close to 80 million tonnes. The Committee on Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) paper estimates that the buffer stocking requirement would go up, thanks to the Food Security law, but not higher than 41.5 million as of July 1. The rest is excess.

The government must sell off excess stocks at a price recommended by the CACP, Rs 13,500 a tonne in the case of wheat. The food minister and his secretary must explain to the people why they are hoarding one-third the annual output of grain, a criminal activity that pushes up prices in the market, and locks up huge government funds: Rs 70,000-92,000 crore, or nearly 1 per cent of GDP. The CACP notes this infusion of “excess” money into the economy without corresponding flow of goods has led to the paradox of rising prices of rice and wheat, ‘amidst overflowing stocks in government godowns.’

Blame it on incompetence, not the Food Security law. The paper says that buffer stocks can be limited to 10-15 MT and still ensure food security, with innovative, state-specific local solutions, including direct income transfers.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 15-07-2013)
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A judge of all people

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Gauging softer traits such as will or attitude is much harder, and takes one-on-one contact, attentive listening, and careful observation. That’s why it’s important to approach a job interview more as an attitudinal audition than a question-and-answer period around skills.

You want people who are self-confident and not afraid to express their views, but if the talk-tolisten ratio is anything north of 60%, you want to ask why. Is it because this person is self-important and not interested in learning from others — or just because he is nervous and rambling? Some people carry with them and spread a negative energy.

Some carry and share a positivity and optimism towards life. Energy-givers are compassionate, generous and the type of people you immediately want to spend time with…. Then, there is reading. Reading gives depth.

(Source: Extracts from “Becoming a Better Judge of People” by Mr. Anthony Tjan in the Economic Times dated 22-06-2013)

By striking down as unconstitutional a particular provision of the Representation of the People Act, which allows convicted parliamentarians and legislators three months to file their appeal with the objective of getting stayed their conviction and the sentence, the apex court has made it clear that its ruling will be with prospective effect. MPs and MLAs who have already moved appeals against criminal charges will be exempt from the action prescribed by the court. But those convicted by trial courts in the future will no longer be able to invoke Section 8(4) of the RP Act. The decision, therefore, is a scathing comment on Parliament, which the court described as having exceeded its powers in providing immunity to politicians with dubious records.

Over the years, there have been an increasing number of cases in which serious allegations ranging from criminal misuse of public office, corruption, impropriety and other noxious activities have been levelled against politicians of all hues. An estimated 76 of the 543 MPs elected in 2009 face serious criminal charges such as murder, rape and dacoity. Several of these cases do not reach their logical conclusion for a variety of reasons, including attempts to circumvent the law, witnesses turning hostile, untrustworthy law enforcement and, sometimes, undue pressure on the judiciary.

(Source: The Times of India dated 12-07-2013)
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Without quick justice, politics will stay criminalized

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Most people are so outraged by the rising tide of criminals in politics that they will welcome the two latest Supreme Court judgments. One bans any convicted person from contesting elections even if the person has appealed to a higher court. The second bans anybody contesting from jail, even if only in temporary police custody or judicial custody.

Both judgments may indeed keep some criminals out of elections. But they carry grave risks of keeping honourable people out too. Many crooks have won election while in jail, but so have honourable persons (such as those jailed by Indira Gandhi during the Emergency).

Worse, the new judgment could set off an avalanche of political vendettas. Politicians often launch false cases against opponents, sometimes in connivance with partisan judges. This deplorable ploy may be strengthened by the latest judgement. We desperately need to cleanse Indian politics, but not in this manner.

The key problem is not that Indian politicians are inherently crooked or criminal. Rather, the moribund justice system gives a huge incentive for criminals to contest and win elections. Judicial processes are so dismally slow that hardly any resourceful person gets convicted quickly, and many die of old age before exhausting appeals. So, nobody knows for sure who is a criminal and who is an innocent victim of false accusations.

Besides, every party in power misuses the police to harass opponents while protecting its own goons. Instead of justice and clean politics, we have rising criminalization and rising mud-slinging, without accountability for either the criminals or mud-slingers.

The Supreme Court’s two judgments look like attempts to bypass the pernicious impact of unending legal delays. But while such short cuts have their attractions, they carry grave risks too. The right way forward is surely for the Supreme Court to devise procedures that ensure quick, time-bound justice. Judges are fond of saying that justice delayed is justice denied, yet they have failed dismally to end this injustice.

We cannot truly reform politics until we reform the justice system. A land without justice in a reasonable period will necessarily be a land in which lawbreakers will beat law-abiders. This will be true not only in politics but in business, the professions, and everything else.

(Extracts from an Article by Mr. Swaminathan S A Aiyar in Times of India dated 14-07-2013)
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Manage with Objectives

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In my experience, this idea of describing the outcome and letting a skilled professional determine how best to get there often results in a more committed worker, higher quality work, and a proud employee.

This is also a very effective approach in getting the most out of knowledge workers. Describe the outcome you are trying to achieve, be clear on the requirements, and preserve the worker’s autonomy.

If the worker needs help, she will ask for it. There is a scientific reason why employees are less effective when tasks are dictated. Amy Arnsten, a neuroscience professor at Yale University, studies the importance of feeling in control.

In an interview at her Yale Laboratory, Arnsten explained that when people lose their sense of control, such as when tasks are dictated to them, the brain’s emotional response center can actually cause a decrease in cognitive functioning. This would presumably lead to a drop in productivity.

If a manager describes the long-term outcome he wants, rather than dictating specific actions, the employee can then decide how to arrive there and preserve his perceived sense of control, cognitive function, and so ultimately improve his productivity. Both practical experience and now scientific evidence tell us often a better approach is to protect the autonomy of the worker and provide highlevel direction.

(Source: Extracts from “Stop Telling Your Employees What to Do” by Jordan Cohen in the Economic Times dated 20-06-2013)
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Imposing penalties on judges for causing delay through adjournments can usher in accountability

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The lumbering wheels of the Indian judicial system may hopefully begin to move at a pace faster than the crawl that they are accustomed to now. A central government suggestion that the higher judiciary impose fines on lower court judges who allow frequent adjournments is an imaginative and potentially effective means to put an end to the swelling workload on the subordinate courts, caused by granting too many adjournments to cases.If the higher judiciary accedes to the governments recommendation, it will caution not just subordinate but also superior court judges who,too,are not completely free from indulging in granting unnecessary adjournments.

Imposing fines is an effective penalty for causing delays in justice delivery that every citizen can expect. It is also a measure of accountability that the government is belatedly trying to enforce through the higher judiciary.While it is easy to hold the lower courts guilty for slowing the justice delivery mechanism,the Supreme Court and the high courts too contribute to delays and arrears.Across the board,others suffer from the inexplicable weakness of sitting on judgments.

(Source: The Times of India dated 01-07-2013)

(Comment: As the Government is the largest litigant in Revenue Matters, it need to retrospect as to what is the role of its officials in seeking repeated adjournments? Also make them accountable!!!)

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Just one hour a week is the answer to our political discontent

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Democracy is as depressing in practice as it is uplifting in theory. There have been so many corruption scandals in the past few years but political parties refuse to learn. At the centre, the UPA has pushed through a dreadful food security law via an ordinance in a desperate move to shore up its popularity before the coming elections, knowing full well its potential for fraud and waste.

The new food law comes at a gigantic cost to a nation that cannot afford it. It will not solve the problem, which is malnutrition and not hunger. But it will undoubtedly result in a colossal scam when a large part of the grain mountain is diverted into the black market. Instead of improving delivery of the current PDS system, we have burdened a weak, corrupt institution with a massive new mandate. When institutions cannot implement existing laws, it is madness to create new ones. It only widens the gap between aspiration and performance, damages the nation’s moral character, and undermines the trust between rulers and the ruled.

What inhibits decent people from entering politics in India is black money and political dynasties. A talented, high minded person will not join a party without inner democracy where merit is not rewarded. Fortunately, a new generation of political leaders has begun to realize that a young India is waking up politically and it will not tolerate the old sycophantic politics of ‘rishwat’ and ‘sifarish’. Political parties will have to learn to value talent the way India’s companies’ do, and a party with inner democracy and meritocracy is bound to gain competitive advantage in the end. Dynasties are thus warned.

All of us struggle to give meaning to our lives. The standard Indian solution is to turn inwards and seek liberation from human bondage through meditation. But there also exists in our tradition the path of action, karma yoga, which means to leave the world a little better than we found it. The answer to our democratic discontent is thus to dive into one’s neighbourhood and assume the duties of a citizen. Don’t worry about the corruption of 2G, Commonwealth Games, or Coalgate. Act instead against the sleaze in our locality. Just one hour a week in the neighbourhood is the best way to reciprocate the compliment that our founding fathers paid us.

(Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Gurucharan Das in Times of India dated 14-07-2013.)
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A crisis of leadership

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A quick thought experiment: name a leader in a position of power you admire, trust and respect. Not just the head of an “alternative” company or political party, but a well-known , mainstream, orthodox, leader of the status quo.

Can you? Even after a few moments to reflect and consider, most people can’t name a single one. Obama? Bernanke? Cameron ? Blankfein? They’re hardly Churchill, Roosevelt, Lincoln , or even J P Morgan.

I’d like to advance a simple thesis: today’s leaders are failing on a grand, epic, global, historic scale — at precisely a time when leadership is sorely needed most. They’re failing me, everyone under the age of 35, and everyone worth less than about $50 million.

I can excuse leaders who are boring , mean, stingy, greedy, uninteresting , self-obsessed , vacuous and generally lame. I can even excuse lying, cheating and stealing. But I can’t excuse the fact that they’ve failed.

If I had five seconds with today’s so-called leaders, I’d simply , firmly, gently say (and I bet you would, too): you’ve failed to provide us opportunity.

You’ve failed to provide us security . You’ve failed to provide us liberty. You’ve failed to provide us dignity. You’ve failed to provide us prosperity. So: resign . Quit. Step aside…

While there are nuances and complications, it’s also true that today’s leaders can act, right now, right this second, in greater degree, with fiercer conviction, to make things not just marginally better — but dramatically so.

(Source: Extracts From “The Great Dereliction” by Mr. Umair Haque – The Economic Times dated 26-06-2013.)
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Defining control of Indian firms: – There is a need of uniform application of the concept of de facto control in India

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is soon expected to notify the Foreign Exchange Management Act, or Fema rules on the definition of “owned or controlled”. The nod from the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs is awaited. In fact, it has been the subject of many court cases on matters of foreign ownership, taxation, transfer of shares and residency status.

The issue in India has come up because no longer can mere foreign shareholding of a company be used to determine the extent and control of an Indian company. Control has two aspects: de facto control and de jure control. Merely using a shareholding threshold of 25 per cent or 50 per cent foreign ownership to define an Indian company as a foreign-controlled company is looking at it purely from a de jure control perspective – a narrow legal view that doesn’t take into account the other aspects and rights accorded to shareholders.

On the contrary, de facto control looks at whether the foreign owner has any direct or indirect influence on strategic decisions taken at the shareholder or the board level, and in the operating day-to-day management. For a proper determination of control, one needs to go beyond the form and look at substance, which translates to recognising de facto control, and not merely restricting the evaluation to de jure control. The concept of de facto control is not just about influencing the composition of the board of directors, but also influencing other powers of the board and management. Positive and negative consents, veto rights, contingent control, put and call options, among others are all examples of control features incorporated into the shareholders’ agreement that goes beyond the current shareholding.

The RBI has taken a step in the right direction to raise the issue of de facto control and notify it in the foreign direct investment policies. Other regulations – the Companies Bill, 2012 and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) takeover code – seem to recognise the de facto control aspect. The Companies Bill, 2012, pending in Parliament, says: “‘Control’ shall include the right to appoint majority of the directors or to control the management or policy decisions exercisable by a person or persons acting individually or in concert, directly or indirectly, including by virtue of their shareholding or management rights or shareholders’ agreements or voting agreements or in any other manner”. The Sebi takeover code paraphrases the same definition of control as that of the Companies Bill.

Many countries such as the US, Canada and Australia recognise the de facto control feature. In legislation where national security or public interest is involved, de facto control is considered. Increasingly, court rulings are looking into de facto control. In India, as sectors such as retail, aviation, defence and nuclear power are opened up to foreign ownership, it is de facto control that needs to be considered.

At the end, the true test of control is whether majority shareholders of the Indian company have strategic and operational freedom to take decisions independent of the foreign shareholder.

(Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Shriram Subramanian in Business Standard dated 29-06-2013.)

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Parliamentarians oppose jail for service tax evaders with dues above Rs. 50 Lakhs

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Attempts by tax officials to garner power of arrest over individuals guilty of not paying service tax exceeding Rs. 50 lakh has run into opposition from members of Parliament (MPs) across parties.

Finance Minister P. Chidambaram’s proposal in the Budget to introduce Section 91, which will empower officials to arrest service tax evaders, has evoked concerns within the ruling party as much as the Opposition over possible misuse of the provision. The measure designed to check tax evasion is likely to lead to harassment of assessees and bring back memories of bad old days of “inspector raj”, critics of the proposal have pointed out.

According to the proposal, failure to deposit service tax will result in arrest by an official not below the rank of superintendent of central excise and imprisonment of up to seven years.

The proposal is one of two in the budget this year empowering tax officials to make arrests. The other proposal, with respect to Customs and excise duties, seeks to overcome a Supreme Court ruling in 2011 that evasion of Customs and excise tax cannot be equated with non-cognisable and non-bailable criminal offences, and that an accused cannot be arrested without a warrant. A threemember bench, headed by Justice Altamas Kabir, had ruled that all offences under the Central Excise Act, 1944, and the Customs Act, 1962, are bailable. A similar proposal was part of Budget 2012-13, but the government was forced to withdraw it. However, it has found its way into this year’s budget as Customs and excise officials insist they need the power of arrest.

Referring to the provision, the leader of the Opposition in Rajya Sabha, BJP’s Arun Jaitley said, “The bail provision was similar to that of the scrapped anti-terror law Pota (Prevention of Terrorism Act). The government was forced to withdraw it.”

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Time for a clean-up act

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Economic policymaking in India has reached a critical stage where any measure to correct one anomaly risks creating complications at the aggregate level. Any attempt, for example, to cut interest rates with the objective of reviving investment and economic growth can end up fuelling inflation and inflationary expectations. Any increase in demand can further aggravate the deficit on the current account, which is already at a record high and is expected to worsen before improving. The pace of output expansion in the economy is at its lowest in a decade and the government has absolutely no fiscal room to revive growth. If anything, the government is likely to cut expenditure, which will affect output in the short term.

It is well known that mismanagement of government finances is the primary reason for the current state of affairs. The rise in consumption expenditures in the form of subsides and social sector spending resulted in a situation where demand constantly outpaced supply by a wide margin, leading to persistent inflationary pressure. Higher inflation forced the central bank to raise the cost of money, reducing the rate of investment, which was also affected by higher government borrowings that pushed yields higher in the bond market.

It is true that the government has an obligation to protect all sections of society, but no government, just like households, can live beyond its means, forever. At some time profligacy will begin to hurt, and that time has arrived. But the worst part of the story is that expenditure will have to be contained and cut at a time when the economy is decelerating at an alarming pace. Further, since much of the non-Plan expenditure, such as defence and interest payments, have limited or no scope of adjustment, the burden of sacrifice will fall on the Plan part of the Budget, which will affect capacity creation.

However, these are not normal circumstances and expenditure needs to be contained, irrespective of the collateral damage in terms of growth. It is also necessary that a balance is maintained between Plan and non-Plan expenditure and some hard decisions are warranted on the non-Plan side, especially on subsides and social sector spending.

It is clear that until the quality of government finances improves and the quantity of its borrowing decreases, any possibility of a real turnaround will remain muted.

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GE, Vodafone CEOs join chorus against India business climate

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The heads of General Electric and Vodafone Plc have added their voices to the growing negative commentary about India’s business climate, piling the pressure on the government to draw a line under this discourse.

GE Chairman and CEO Jeffrey Immelt said there was growing concern among American and European CEOs about India’s business climate and warned against policies that were unfair and bad for much-needed investment.

“If you put yourself in the shoes of an American or a European CEO, most of the articles (in the press) have been negative. That has clearly concerned people,” said Immelt, adding that next week’s budget must address the concern of foreign investors and push infrastructure development.

While the GE boss was measured, the chief of Britain’s Vodafone, which has been locked in a high profile tax dispute with the government. Vodafone CEO Vittorio Colao told the Wall Street Journal in an interview that India’s bureaucracy was “damaging” to the country. “The concern that I have is that this country is a fantastic country with a bright future, given the demography and everything else, but the bureaucracy of this country… It is clearly damaging to India,” Colao told The Wall Street Journal.

“What is happening to us, to Nokia, to Shell, to SABMiller, all the other companies involved-one could be an accident; too many is a pattern. I think that the government is making a good effort to try to change this, but cannot continue with a bureaucracy that wakes up in the morning and decides to give another interpretation of something,” he added.

India ranks 132 in the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index, below countries such as Nigeria, Kenya and Uganda, and 41 ranks below China.

A top executive at UAE’s Etihad Airways said it was revising a proposal to acquire stake in India’s Jet Airways, citing concerns about the safety of its investment in India. Etihad chairman Hamed bin Zayed al-Nahayan sought an investment protection agreement from Commerce Minister Anand Sharma during a meeting in Dubai.

This week oil giant Shell and Finnish handset maker Nokia found themselves at the receiving end of tax claims that they protested publicly. Nokia said it had filed a letter of objection with tax authorities following an income tax raid on its factory near Chennai.

Shell India said it intended to fight the claim. “Indian taxmen’s $1-billion demand on Shell’s $160-million equity infusion in its loss-making Indian arm about four years ago is an absurdity, and the company will contest it,” Shell India chairman Yasmine Hilton said.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 23-02-2013).

Management lesson from politicians: CEOs should use EAs as change agents

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When Reliance Industries came calling to pick two executive assistants (EAs) for its chief, Mukesh Ambani, IIM graduates, unsurprisingly, responded with gusto.

This means two things. First, RIL’s talent hunt for two EAs perhaps indicates that large Indian companies are now more or less sold on the idea of a smart fellow shadowing the boss.

The Tatas were among the pioneers in India Inc in appointing EAs. Other majors took longer to take to the idea. And it is only recently that the EA’s role has changed from making the boss look smart – at an industry chamber conference, for example – to being the boss’s strategy-sounding board. A really talented EA can get fast-tracked real fast. The list of CEOs who started their careers as EAs is set to get longer.

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Strained relations – Government should realise it must engage with global business.

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A strange confusion reigns in the Indian government’s interaction with global big business at the moment. On the one hand, India is more dependent on foreign investment, and the goodwill of multinationals, than it has been for a long time. On the other hand, it has gone out of its way to be an unwelcoming and difficult environment. It seems obvious that these two facts cannot go hand in hand for any length of time – something must give. And when it does, a crisis will be difficult to avoid.

The reasons why India needs multinationals on its side are easy to see. India’s external account is worryingly weak, with the current account deficit at 5.4 per cent of gross domestic product in the second quarter of 2012-13; it might be even higher in the third quarter, and come in at five per cent of GDP for the entire financial year. India’s reserves have not grown sufficiently, and they cover only about seven months of imports. The huge trade deficit, caused by a fall-off of exports and high fuel and gold imports, is essentially being financed by an increase in inflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs). External commercial borrowing, too, has increased. These are notoriously volatile flows. To minimise the risk of capital flight, therefore, foreign direct investment (FDI), more stable than FII inflows, is needed.

On the other hand, the sources of FDI – big multinational companies (MNCs) – will see little reason to invest in India at the moment. India boosters have long spoken of its growth, its burgeoning market, and so on; but for MNCs, the truth is that you can participate in the India consumption story without suffering the high price and inconveniences of doing business in the country. India has always been difficult for new projects. It has grown even more difficult of late, as high growth in the 2000s directed attention to environmental hurdles, power supply constraints and land acquisition bottlenecks for manufacturing. These are some of the reasons why Indian business is investing abroad. 115 (2013) 45-A BCAJ But the government has made it worse for MNCs in some other ways, just at the time it needs them most. Worries over the fiscal deficit mean the revenue department has a freer hand, and is levying assessment after harsh assessment on MNCs that are being challenged. Some of these may be justifiable. However, the reputation of India’s tax department does not inspire trust in global business, and many will think that the department is in over its head when it comes to taxing complex pricing strategies, for example. In any case, companies will choose to avoid countries that are inconsistent on taxes. Meanwhile, steps taken to protect Indian manufacturing – which has fallen by the wayside in the past 10 years, and especially the past two years – have also caused outrage. For example, the government worried that too much of India’s telecom backbone was being built by strategic rivals; but its consequent attempt to limit the procurement options of the private sector for security reasons will not have pleased global business. Similar objections will attend the special electronics clusters that many see as the only way to ensure that an Indian hardware industry develops.

The government must realise that it should engage with global business and prevent a feeling that nobody in the government is willing to address MNCs’ concerns. While attending to the collapse of domestic manufacturing cannot be de-emphasised, it is crucial that global business gets, at least, a genuine hearing. Inconsistencies in the policy environment, especially on taxes, should be avoided at all cost. If not, the contradictions at the heart of the government’s treatment of MNCs will bring a crisis ever closer.

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China offers lessons for India in downsizing government by cutting ministries

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The Chinese government is preparing to dismantle the ministry that has swaggeringly delivered the world’s largest high-speed network over the last few years. This is just one among many measures China is undertaking to reduce corruption and leakages while boosting efficiency and sending a forward-looking signal to the markets.

It follows on 1 Tarunkumar Singhal Raman Jokhakar Chartered Accountants Miscellanea earlier reforms when more than 40 ministries and commissions in China were cut down to just 29. Now look at India for contrast. The first cabinet of independent India apportioned out only around a dozen portfolios, which had gone up to 42 by 2004. And that number is a whopping 53 now! While such ministerial multiplication has served the cause of coalition politics admirably, it has also encouraged paunchy and improvident governance. This bungling has been worsened by ministries working at cross-purposes. As the cabinet secretariat has said in its annual performance appraisal, most central ministries are working in silos, even though there is no consolation in a team member scoring a double century if the team ends up losing the match.

To take the example of railways, why shouldn’t it be integrated alongside the road transport and highways ministry, the shipping ministry and the civil aviation ministry within a transport portfolio? If only Air India was denationalised back to its status at Independence, as is suitable for a postliberalisation nation, the civil aviation ministry would lose its raison d’etre. Or consider how the energy portfolio is (mis)handled by the ministries of coal, petroleum and natural gas, power, new and renewable energy, heavy industries and public enterprises, et al. With so many ministries splitting up the goal of powering India, the big picture suffers while petty politicking flourishes.

Why, for instance, do we need textiles, steel or information and broadcasting ministries in a liberalised environment? And what on earth, pray, is the job of the ministry of statistics and programme implementation? If other ministries cannot implement their programmes, will setting up a separate ministry dedicated to this help? Add to the incessant setting up of new ministries the innumerable departments and standalone offices that also come up, and you have layers of bureaucracy, each with its own penchant for empire-building, coming in the way of streamlined governance and meaningful work. It’s high time the government indulged its common-sense side rather than its maudlin and inflated side, and reversed the trend of mindless multiplication of ministries.

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Leadership Potential

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In my many years of observing leaders, I have noticed a number of signs that a person has high potential for corporate leadership… Leaders aren’t born with the phenomenal breadth and scope of thinking that characterises successful leaders of big companies, but those with a drive to constantly search for more information and see things from a broader view have the potential for it. Some young leaders exhibit a conceptual ability to rise above the details, to see a broader context than their peers, and to place themselves and their immediate accomplishments within that broader context. Leaders must also be able to make sense of all they take in and set a clear course of action.

After gathering information from multiple sources and shaping several alternatives, they have to be able to sort out what is important, make a decision and act on it. Even at lower levels, information is often muddled and the right path is often unclear, but leaders with high potential find clarity and act decisively despite the uncertainty and ambiguity that stymies others. They take disparate facts and observations and connect the dots to create a clear view of what they think is likely to happen before it does. Because they see the hazy outlines of change before others do, they put their businesses on the offensive. Most highpotential leaders will show an uncommon ability to analyse and synthesise large amounts of data and make a decision based not only on the data but also on intuition.

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India’s Feudal Democracy – To Realise its People’s Potential, Industrialisation and Modernisation and Imperative.

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The Indian Constitution, following the British model, created a system of parliamentary democracy. Up to 1947, when India became independent, it was still a largely feudal, agricultural country. The British policy was to keep us largely un-industrialized, since an industrial India, with its cheap labour, could become a powerful rival to British industry.

The Indian Constitution was based on western models. We borrowed parliamentary democracy and an independent judiciary from England, federalism and the fundamental rights from the Bill of Rights in the US Constitution, the Directive Principles of State Policy from the Irish Constitution, etc. Thus we borrowed a modern Constitution from western models, and transplanted it from above on our largely backward, feudal society.

Democracy is a feature of an industrial, not feudal, society. But the intention of our founding fathers – Pandit Nehru and his colleagues – was that democracy and other modern principles, such as liberty, equality, freedom of speech, freedom of religion, liberty or equality, as well as modern institutions such as Parliament and independent judiciary, etc would pull our backward, feudal society into the modern age.

They set up a heavy industrial base (which the British had prohibited). Consequently India became partially industrialised and made some progress since 1947. However, midway between 1947 and now our democracy was hijacked by the feudals.

Caste and religious vote banks, which could be craftily manipulated by many of our politicians to serve their selfish ends, emerged and became a normal feature of elections and other political activity in most parts of India.

 It is for this reason that many persons with criminal background have often been elected. Democracy was never meant to be run in this manner, and this has blocked our progress. Hence fundamental social and political changes are now required.

The unfortunate truth is that most of our people are still intellectually very backward, with faith in casteism, communalism and superstitions. ‘Honour’ killing, dowry deaths, female feticide, etc are prevalent in large parts of India. Unemployment is massive in India, with even postgraduates seeking a peon’s job. Healthcare for the masses is abysmal. Poor people in India can hardly afford doctors or medicines, and hence they resort to quacks. Education is in a shambles.

Our national aim must be to make India a modern, powerful, secular, highly industrialised country, in which all its people (and not just a handful, as is the case today) get decent lives, and the great social evils like poverty, malnutrition, unemployment, skyrocketing prices, lack of healthcare and good education, etc which are widespread today in India are abolished forever. Backward and feudal ideas like casteism, communalism and superstitions must be replaced by modern scientific and rational thinking. How is this to be achieved? To my mind this can be achieved by the struggles of the people using their creativity.

All patriotic people in India must strive for this goal, and join in this great historical task. This will no doubt call for great sacrifices, and will probably require a long, painful and sustained struggle for about 20 years or so. But if we do not do this we will be cursed by our descendants for having betrayed the nation.

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Inflation-indexed Bonds will Protect Savings and Lower the Demand for Gold

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The Reserve Bank of India plans to launch inflation indexed bonds (IIBs) to wean investors away from gold. This is welcome. Demand for gold has surged because it is often seen as the only hedge against inflation.

However, it lowers the country’s financial savings and also widens the current account deficit. The need is for a financial instrument that would protect the capital invested against erosion by inflation and also offer a positive real rate of interest. With consumer price inflation over 10%, practically no fixed-income option offers an investor a positive real rate of interest, the nominal rate less the rate of inflation. True, there were hardly any takers for similar bonds in the 1990s.

However, the poor demand was due to flaws in the design: only principal repayments at the time of redemption were indexed to inflation. RBI now proposes to redesign the scheme, indexing both the principal and the coupon to the inflation rate. This makes eminent sense. It means the payout will increase when prices rise and vice versa, thereby ensuring that the purchasing power of an investor’s earnings remains intact. IIBs would help investors diversify their asset portfolio and also ensure investment in more productive assets.

These bonds can also be a huge draw for pension, insurance and other institutional investors. This should dampen the demand for gold to an extent. We also need to make our financial markets more attractive to investors. One, the government should take steps to develop a well-functioning corporate bond market that allows appropriate risk-return pricing and more access to credit. Two, regulators must ensure that financial products are simple, easy to understand and supported by stable incentives.

Three, it is also imperative for the government to incentivise distributors of products such as the National Pension System (NPS) that has the institutional framework to generate superior returns on old-age savings. Subscribers of the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation must be allowed to voluntarily migrate to the NPS. It will create a larger pool of funds that can be invested across asset classes.

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IMF Sounds Warning on Bank Licences

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The International Monetary fund (IMF) has warned India against licensing corporate entities to step into the business of commercial banking, saying the risks associated with such a move potentially outweigh the benefits of creating more banks.

IMF’s Financial System Stability Assessment Update said it would be prudent for India to first put in place and gain sufficient experience in implementing a comprehensive framework for the purpose before considering the entry of conglomerates into banking.

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An Ill-read Nation

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The Annual Status of Education Report, 2012, is a grim reminder of the nation’s knowledge deficit. It is based on a survey of schools, both private and government, in 567 rural districts of the country and is, hence, the most comprehensive data on primary education.

 Its prime finding is that standards of reading, writing and arithmetic skills have gone from bad to worse. In 2010, one in two children in the fifth standard could read the texts meant for the sec- 780 (2013) 44-B BCAJ ond standard; two years later, the proportion was two out of five. Similarly, in 2010, nearly three out of four students could do two-digit subtraction, and in 2012 only one in two students could do so.

The only good news has been on the enrolment front, especially in rural India, where it’s at a record high of 96%. Effectively, the Right to Education has been reduced to a right to schooling.

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The FM’S Message

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Ever since he took charge last October, finance minister P. Chidamabram has excelled in talking up the mood in the economy. He has taken this to another level in his ongoing roadshows to improve sentiment of foreign investors in the Indian economy.

In Hong Kong on Tuesday he promised a dream budget: not only will it avoid any increase in direct tax rates, at the same time the government will be able to protect spending on social sector programmes. In Singapore, he reiterated the message. Investors are loving it.

However, in Singapore he also had a warning; an investment bank advisory quotes him as saying that the biggest threat to reforms was an unstable government in 2014.

The implicit message is that the FM believes that 2014 is likely to throw up a very fragmented verdict. Clearly, policy uncertainty will be par for the course.

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Desi Companies Plan Succession only for Top Tier

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Around 71% of Indian companies say they have a succession plan in place for their top-tier leaders but only 27% of these organisations have a satisfactory technology in place to executive this task. About 26% of Indian companies say insufficient funds for development is a key barrier to achieving goals. While 32% of organisations in Asia-Pacific are spending more than INR310,741 per person annually to train and develop their senior level leaders, only 25% companies are doing so in India.

 “It is not only the funding which is a problem; it is about the time being exclusively dedicated to mentoring and grooming future talent which is missing across Indian companies. Not many organizations are employing trained coaches and mentors, an efficient and professional method which has been successfully proven internationally for years,” says Nishchae Suri, managing director at Mercer India.

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Judiciary on a shoestring – Amounts doled out as part of the Union Budget are measly and skewed

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This is the time when some 35 million taxpayers are wringing their hands in speculation over what’s in store for them in the upcoming Budget. But the judiciary has no such angst; it has accepted as destiny the niggardly amounts doled out to it in every annual Budget — Central or state. There is no one to speak up for it at this crucial time, nor can it employ lobbyists like other sectors.

According to an estimate, only 0.4% of the Budgetary outlay is allocated to the judiciary. “Is justice delivery so unimportant that there is only 0.4% of the gross domestic product [GDP] as Budget for the judiciary?” a Supreme Court judge asked recently at a Delhi meeting.

 In contrast, the allocation for the justice system is 1.2% in Singapore, 1.4% in the US and 4.3% in the United Kingdom. Unlike in other departments of the government, more than half of the amount spent on the judiciary is raised from the judiciary itself through collection of court fees, stamp duty and miscellaneous matters.

The situation facing the judiciary is grim. There are 30 million cases pending before the courts. Against the Law Commission recommendation of 50 judges for one million people, the present ratio is 10.5 for one million. Then, there are unjustifiable percentage of vacancies in courts and tribunals. Talented people do not opt for a judicial career for many reasons. Thus, brilliant lawyers have to argue before less-endowed judges.

The infrastructure and working conditions of the judicial and administrative personnel are so poor that these are issues before the Supreme Court in public interest cases. One such case, All India Judges Association vs. Union of India, has been going on since 1989 and is heard almost every week. The government has to be nudged at every step to comply with the orders. Some state governments do not file replies before chief secretaries are summoned. Different benches of the court have monitored these problems for years but are still far from achieving the goals.

 Nearly 60% of the cases involve Central laws and, therefore, the Central Budget should take care of the expenses. Laws passed by Parliament normally do not talk about the expenses involved in their implementation, like additional infrastructure and personnel. Since the expenses are shared unequally by the Central and state governments, there is constant squabble over the liability to finance the courts and tribunals. Registrars of high courts are often seen panhandling before law secretaries.

If the present imbroglio is not solved, the system is bound to crash. In the past, reports of committees like those headed by Justice Jagannatha Shetty and E Padmanabhan have warned the government about the pathetic condition of the judiciary. In a recent study, it was found that appeals from more literate states exceed by far those from the less literate ones. If education spreads and people realise their rights and start asserting them, the docket explosion will be unmanageable in times to come. Imagine the golden chain of justice with 60 bells set up by emperor Jahangir ringing every nano-second.

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HUL signals India’s Strong Prospects

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India does not require a certificate from the IMF or discredited credit-rating agencies, saying that its economy has excellent prospects. That certificate has already come, in the form of a cheque worth a staggering $5.4 billion, signed by the bosses of Unilever, the Anglo-Dutch giant. The money will enable Unilever to buy a dominant 75% stake in its Indian counterpart, HUL. This is excellent news for policymakers in India.

Without any prodding, hard-headed European businessmen have decided to put their money where they believe future global growth will originate. Not in Europe, but in India. Remember, Unilever already had control of HUL, with its existing 52.5% equity. So, the main reason for pumping in the money is to invest in future growth and to get a bigger share of the dividends that will come with it. And, HUL is only the latest in what is proving to be a trend of large multinationals hiking stakes in their Indian arms.

Over the last few years, German engineering giant Siemens, Swiss major ABB, drugmaker GlaxoSmithKline and several others have bought larger stakes in their Indian arms. Expect others, like Colgate-Palmolive and Suzuki, to follow suit. Indian regulations let each parent to raise its stake up to 75%.

Some people fret that these could lead to a delisting of HUL and the other multinationals. However, these fears could prove to be baseless. Once listed in India, our takeover and tax rules make it near-impossible for a company to delist. Even if some ingenious accountants finds a way for some to get off our bourses, as they did with Cadbury, that would be no great tragedy.

Though multinational stocks have been steady performers, to develop a vibrant equity culture, India needs more local companies that operate for the long term, without worrying much about the quarterly opinions of analysts. Once our companies start thinking long term, without looking over their shoulders all the time, the equity market will become vibrant and robust.

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Tax treaties not to provide I-T return leeway anymore

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Those availing of treaty benefits would now have to file returns of their incomes in India, even if those aren’t liable to be taxed here. The government has changed the Income Tax Rules, making it mandatory for certain classes of assessees, including those covered under bilateral tax treaties, to file their returns in India.

The new rules are effective from April 1. Earlier, those who didn’t pay taxes in India, owing to the provisions under the double taxation avoidance agreement between India and the country of origin concerned, didn’t have to file the return in India.

“A person claiming any relief of tax under section 90 or 90A or deduction of tax under section 91 of the Income Tax Act, shall furnish the return for assessment year 2013-14 and subsequent assessment years,” the Central Board of Direct Taxes said in a notification. The move would primarily impact majority of the investors from Mauritius who claim treaty benefits and don’t file returns on the pretext that their income isn’t taxable in India.

Experts said though the move would increase the compliance burden on assessees, the government would have a lot of information to assess whether treaty relief claimed by people was valid or not. Now, taxpayers would have to report foreign income separately, under a new schedule. They would have to bifurcate the foreign income to which provisions of a tax treaty apply and quote the tax identification number (TIN) in case tax has been paid in a foreign country. If the TIN is not allotted by that country, the assessee would have to furnish his passport number. For instance, if a taxpayer earns income from interest on bank deposits in India, as well as abroad, he would have to state the interest earned on foreign income separately.

Taxpayers may claim tax benefits under a tax treaty or the Income Tax Act, whichever provides greater benefits. In Finance Act, 2012, the government had said a tax residency certificate (TRC) would be required to prove the taxpayer was the resident of the tax treaty country concerned. It had said TRC would be a necessary, but not a sufficient condition for availing of treaty benefits.

The new rules also make it mandatory for taxpayers with total annual income of more than Rs. 25 lakh to declare their domestic assets, including land, buildings, bank deposits, shares, insurance policies, loans, jewellery, bullion, drawings, paintings, yachts, boats, etc. Now, as part of foreign asset reporting norms, assessees also have to state their foreign bank account number and the details of the trusts in which they are trustees.

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The great Indian corruption chronicles – The PM has been offering platitudes about corruption. Enough of that

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The various corruption scandals that have grabbed national attention are yet another reminder of how deep the rot is.

Corruption is not a new problem in India. Kautilya had bluntly talked about 40 methods of embezzlement in the Arthashastra, his famous treatise on government. President Rajendra Prasad had written to prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru in the early days of the republic to warn him about the growing incidence of corruption in government. A committee headed by K. Santhanam was formed in 1962 to suggest ways to reduce corruption. The first Bill for a Lokpal was tabled in Parliament in 1968. Institutions such as the Central Bureau of Investigation and the Central Vigilance Commission were set up in those years. And add to that the flurry of legislation that sought to check corruption.

At least some of the corruption in the socialist era was linked to the discretionary powers vested with the government. C. Rajagopalachari often lashed out against the insidious way that the licence raj was undermining honesty across the country. The Santhanam committee also tried to establish a link between economic controls and corruption. There is undoubtedly a lot of truth in their observations. The advent of economic reforms in 1991 reduced corruption in a lot of sectors; one does not hear of cement allocation scams these days. A transition to auctions could have prevented the telecom spectrum scam.

But it is also true that economic reforms have not stamped out corruption. The nature of the beast has now changed, with massive amounts of money being made in public procurement, land deals, welfare schemes, infrastructure projects and the like. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the size of the loot has also multiplied. The Bofors deal seems like a pittance today, even after taking inflation into account.

The venality within government is mind-boggling, from the national minister in New Delhi caught with his hands in the till to the district official who demands a bribe to help a farmer access his land records. Yet, it would be wrong to pretend that the problem is restricted to the innards of government. Dishonesty has become ubiquitous in India: the corporate sector, education, the legal system and the media, for example. It would not be far from the truth to say that India suffers from a crisis of values.

The fact that corruption is an old disease, it is ubiquitous and has become culturally acceptable should not lead to the pessimistic conclusion that nothing should be done about it, that silent rage is the only rational response. Many countries have won the battle against corruption, at least against the sort of pervasive corruption we see in India.

The most natural place to begin is the political system. In 1967, Atal Bihari Vajpayee had pointed out with his trademark irony that every parliamentarian begins his career with a lie, when he reports the size of his election fund. The lies multiply after that.

The main attack against corruption in the political system has to begin at the top, just as there is little hope of cleaning up the corporate sector if the focus is on the small entrepreneur rather than large business houses.

There has been enough discussion in recent decades on the solutions: reform of electoral funding, independent watchdogs, greater autonomy for the Central Bureau of Investigation, the Right to Information, more transparent public procurement and ombudsmen such as the Lokpal, for example. Of equal importance is a political culture that respects these institutions rather than treats them as instruments of political control.

The Manmohan Singh government has preferred to distract national attention whenever a corruption scandal has erupted rather than try to address the problem. Also, the Prime Minister has used his reputation of personal probity to protect himself against being equated with several corrupt ministers in his cabinet; but it is high time this layer of Teflon was ripped off. The buck should stop with him.

The time to be impressed with his weak platitudes about corruption has gone.

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FATCA – US may soon get a leash on Indian financial institutions

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Imagine this: Having moved to the US on a work visa, you have become a taxpayer there. But you have not closed your savings account with State Bank of India and a demat account with its subsidiary.

Both you and your bank/broker would soon be required to report this to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the US tax authority. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is giving finishing touches to a draft inter-governmental agreement (IGA), to be signed between India and the US under the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA). The three-year-old US law seeks to improve tax compliance involving foreign financial assets and offshore accounts. Under FATCA, US taxpayers with specified foreign financial assets exceeding certain thresholds must report those to IRS.

FATCA also requires foreign financial institutions (FFIs), such as banks, fund houses and brokers, to report directly to IRS information about financial accounts held by US taxpayers, or foreign entities in which US taxpayers hold a substantial ownership interest. These provisions will become applicable to Indian financial institutions once the Indian government signs IGA with Washington under the Act.

The law is expected to come into force in January 2014.

While the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was earlier asked to prepare the draft IGA, Sebi has now sought feedback from market participants on the key changes required to be made in the draft. These suggestions will be forwarded to the Centre for incorporation in IGA.

Since the issue is of “vital importance” and, once implemented, will have “impact on the securities market”, Sebi has sought specific suggestions from market participants on changes needed in the “text of the Model-1A of IGA”, those suggested in the due diligence procedures for a reporting entity and any exempted entity and product that needs to be incorporated in IGA.

Sebi has also called for a meeting of key intermediaries next week to discuss and iron out issues.

Under FATCA, withholding agents must withhold tax on certain payments to FFIs that do not agree to report certain information to IRS about their US accounts or accounts of certain foreign entities with substantial US owners. An FFI may agree to report certain information about its account holders by registering to be FATCA-compliant.

An FFI registered to be FATCAcompliant and issued a global intermediary identification number (GIIN) will appear on a published FFI list. Withholding agents may rely on an FFI’s claim of FATCA status based on checking the payee’s GIIN against the published FFI list. This list is scheduled to be published monthly, beginning December 2013.

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The charge is complicity – Fingers are starting to point at the PM

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The difference this time is that the Teflon coating has worn off – not wholly, but very substantially. Back in 2004, Manmohan Singh was this spotless “father of economic reform” who by a twist of fate had become prime minister and offered the country new hope. Along the way, as he lost ministerial colleagues to scandal at the rate of about one a year, Dr Singh could plead helplessness in the face of “coalition dharma”, or “arm’s length” ignorance even after Andimuthu Raja kept sending him letters. He could be silent when the country’s aviation rights were gifted to the Arabs, and do a neat side-step by seeking to pin the blame on the finance minister for spectrum mispricing though he himself had called a crucial meeting on the subject. Now, in 2013, he is protecting a minister of law who seems immune to any sense of propriety, though it is plain that the minister (of law, mind you) tried to derail the inquiry by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) into the coal-mine allocation scandal, and then lied about it. There will be even less Teflon left if the Court asks the joint secretary concerned in the Prime Minister’s Office to testify who instructed him to vet the CBI’s report to the Court.

Greek tragedy has the concept of a fatal flaw. Manmohan Singh’s is malleability when deciding what is right and wrong. It isn’t easy to spot the flaw because he masks it with his ability to argue either side with a display of equal conviction. And he uses it to great effect to ensure the survival of his government and himself. So, despite obvious differences with his party chief on economic policy, he has mostly suppressed his instincts and gone with hers despite the damage it has caused. On allowing coalition partners to run amok, he said something like: “I am not in the business of losing my government’s majority” (though, ironically, that is exactly what he has done, after losing coalition partners at the rate of one every two years). As for protecting the public interest, when the petroleum minister warned of the fiscal consequences of awarding a big jump in gas prices to a private party, the minister was packed off to earth sciences. When the sports minister warned him two years before the Commonwealth Games that a financial scandal was building up, that minister too got changed. The coal secretary wrote to him as coal minister, warning of a scam and asking for a mine auctioning policy. The old one, garnished with the usual favouritism to favourites, continued.

The Opposition likes to attribute all this to weakness in the prime minister, but that cannot explain the reluctance to take action, even when prodded, as a response to misdemeanor by a political nonentity like Ashwani Kumar, or by a lightweight like Pawan Bansal from single-Lok Sabha-seat Chandigarh. Nor can he plead the compulsions of coalition politics. Could it be “nonpolicy paralysis”? Let’s face it, the more likely explanation in at least some cases is complicity.

A micron-thin Teflon coating remains despite repeated acquiescence in the face of wrongdoing because, unlike many of his ministerial colleagues, Dr Singh has no nephews, sons and sons-in-law, feeding like vultures off rotten flesh. What gives him public standing also are his innate civility and a deceptive air of humility that hides a calculating brain. The abiding mystery is why a natural instinct to preserve his place in India’s economic history has not prevented him from bringing the economy to its knees, with about the worst set of macroeconomic indicators for any major economy. Nor, while he makes his robot-like speeches, has he uttered a word of regret about the mismanagement. Does he think that he is not complicit in that too?

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Time to axe old laws that only harass the honest

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The word ‘difficult’ often crops up in conversations, ranging from “it is difficult to do business in India” to “it is difficult to express oneself in India”.

The Jain Commission, in its ‘Report of the Commission on Review of Administrative Laws’ (September 1998), commented: “There is a perception among many people that despite a fairly extensive state intervention and a regulatory regime in our country, there is no real deterrence and effective enforcement for the benefit of society in general and the average citizen in particular.”

Under the Factories Act, 1948 — which with its statespecific rules reeks of the license raj — business entities have to ‘suffer’ inspections from various different government departments, and notices for even minor lapses are sent directly to directors. No wonder the World Bank’s ‘Ease of Doing Business’ ranking leaves India at 132nd place out of 183 countries.

The Jain Commission admitted that multiplicity and complexity of laws and rules, as well as lack of information about them leads to misuse (read facilitates corruption) and hampers growth. It sought repeal of over 1,300 central laws (including 11 British statutes). The Commission admitted that there isn’t even a rough estimate of similar state laws, which could run into several thousands. Since the Acts and the rules neither recognise current realities, nor do they facilitate compliance, there is a tendency to evolve mechanisms which are not in the interest of employees, employer or even the state. Harassment and circumvention emerge as the key conduct.

The National Law Commission down the years has also been giving its recommendations for repeal or revision of laws. Yet, apart from a one-stroke repeal of 315 Amendment Acts in March 2002, progress is pathetically slow. Owing to our legislative framework, a law or Act never dies unless specifically repealed.

As no one wants to take responsibility for repeal of old laws, the Jain Commission suggested adoption of the US or UK model. The UK, then, had in place a Deregulation and Contracting Out Act, 1994, which permitted the authorised minister to amend the provision of a legislation or repeal it through administrative orders (after inviting objections) so long as this reduced the burden imposed by that legislation. However, an outcry over dilution of the sanctity of the UK Parliament led to the repeal of this Act. Today in the UK, under The Legislative and Regulatory Reform Act, 2006, legislations can be repealed by a Parliament resolution (a full-fledged time-consuming debate is not required).

The Jain Commission also suggested the US model with its sunset clauses. “There is no general or comprehensive requirement at the US federal level that all laws, or even specific categories of laws, must be reviewed, renewed, modified or set to expire. At the state level, however, sunset requirements are more common.

“While giving unprecedented rights to a minister for repeal of an Act may prove dangerous and even unconstitutional, perhaps the sunset clause mechanism could be explored,” says M. L. Bhakta, senior partner of law firm Kanga & Co. (Source: The Times of India dated 29-11-2012)

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Stem The Rot – IOA and IABF suspensions must trigger a reclamation of sport from self-serving politicians

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The decision of the International Boxing Association to provisionally suspend the Indian Amateur Boxing Federation (IABF) for irregularities in the latter’s recent elections exposes the rot within sports administration in the country. That the IABF suspension follows that of the Indian Olympic Association (IOA) is not surprising either, the common link between the two being new IOA president Abhey Singh Chautala. The Haryana politician had contested the IOA elections as a representative of the IABF. In September, Chautala was nominated to the newly created post of IABF chairman to circumvent the government’s sports code that stipulates tenure and age limits for sports officials. Meanwhile, the Archery Association of India, whose president V K Malhotra has served in that position for 40 years, was also derecognised by the sports ministry for violating the sports code.

All of this exemplifies the vice-like grip of politicians over Indian sports. Elections to the various sports bodies are straightforward political contests with little thought given to electing the right man for the right job. In several cases the same political personality is seen to be holding critical administrative positions in multiple sports federations for years together. Ironically, politicians who rarely see eye to eye on public policy matters have no qualms about collaborating on sports. Hence, tainted Congress leader Suresh Kalmadi is seen supporting INLD’s Chautala’s candidature in the IOA. This incestuous politicians’ clique is eating away at the innards of Indian sport.

 Noxious politicisation is the primary reason why a country of 1.2 billion people produces so few champions. Funding for sports bodies is a waste, as politicians and their appointees use it to disburse patronage. The existing system needs to be dismantled and a new one put in its place. Politicians have no business governing sports and must give way to former sportspersons or other professionals associated with sport. With their knowledge of and feel for sport they can mentor young athletes and raise sporting standards many times over.

(Source: The Times of India dated 10-12-2012)

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Correlation between Economic Growth & Corruption

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Which countries in the world are the least corrupt, according to Transparency International’s (TI) latest Corruption Perceptions Index? Denmark, Finland, New Zealand, Sweden, Singapore and Switzerland. Their average per capita income: INR3,403,668. And which are the most corrupt (the word is applied only to the public sector — so, essentially, government corruption)? Somalia, North Korea, Afghanistan, Sudan and Myanmar. Their average per capita income? Less than INR61,885. The richest countries are also the cleanest, while the poorest are perceived as the most corrupt. The question begs itself: do corruption levels mirror per capita income levels, just as the United Nations’ human development index does? So it would seem, from a closer look at TI’s latest list of 174 countries, ranked using information from 13 different international data sources.

Take India. TI ranks it 94th out of 174 countries. But of the 93 countries that have a better corruption ranking, as many as 86 also do better on per capita income. Only seven countries that are poorer than India manage to do better on corruption. Six of them, interestingly, are in Africa (Rwanda, Lesotho, Liberia, Zambia, Malawi and Burkina Faso), so parts of that continent are doing some things better than us in India. Look then at the South Asia corruption scores, and the picture is generally consistent: corruption perceptions usually improve as incomes rise. Bhutan has the second highest per capita income (INR127,050) and also the best corruption rank (33). That is followed by Sri Lanka (INR178,228 and rank of 79), and then India (INR93,508 and corruption rank of 94). The poorer neighbours (Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal) also do worse on corruption, ranking between 139 and 144. The moral in the numbers seems to be clear: get rich and your country is also likely to become clean (or at least cleaner).

(Source: “Weekend Ruminations” by T.N. Ninan in Business Standard dated 08-12-2012)

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Scams, retro tax hurt India’s image: Ratan Tata

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Ratan Tata, outgoing chairman of the Tata group, is “rattled” by India’s current image emerging from scams and retrospective taxation, and wants the government to give an “irreversible commitment” that the law of the land has sanctity.

“Never before has India had that kind of image,” Tata said in an interview. India has been “hurt” by scams, court process and some of the retrospective taxation acts which had given “a sense of uncertainty to investors in terms of the credibility of the government”, he said.

“You get FIPB approval to invest in India and to own a company, you get a licence to operate and then, three years later, the same government… tells you that your licences are illegal and that you have lost everything. This leads to a great deal of uncertainty. Never before has India had that kind of image. So that really rattled me because then anything can happen,” the Tata patriarch said.

India must give an “irreversible commitment” that law of the land has sanctity and the government approval cannot be taken lightly, he emphasised, adding “otherwise India would be taken lightly”. (Source : The Times of India dated 10-12-2012)

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European Union wants member states to adopt common general anti-avoidance rules

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Indian tax authorities have got support for the much criticised anti-tax avoidance rules from European Commission, giving it the necessary backing to take a decision on the stalled proposal.

The executive body of the 27-member European Union has drawn up an action plan to combat tax evasion and avoidance and wants member states 530 (2013) 44-B BCAJ to adopt a common general anti-avoidance rules, or GAAR.

India has deferred the implementation of GAAR by a year after domestic and foreign investors voiced concerns, and it could be pushed to 2016-17 if the country accepts recommendations of the review committee.

The recommendations are with Manmohan Singh, but a decision has been difficult because of opposition from tax authorities that are not in favour of any further delay in the rules that they feel is necessary to curb tax evasion.

Shome committee had suggested a three-year deferral, arguing that the administrative machinery was not ready. GAAR rules seek to deny tax benefit to any arrangement that is entered into with the sole objective of avoiding taxes. Though primarily targeted at foreign investors coming into India through the tax havens and Mauritius, the rule could well apply to domestic structures as well, which has worried the domestic industry. Worried foreign investors had pressed sales in stock markets fearing the law would apply to their investments routed through Mauritius. India Incs biggest fear was that the rules would leave too much discretionary powers in the hands of income tax officials leading to their harassment.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 10-12-2012)

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The ‘Ugly Indian’?

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Most people in India have assumed that the Maldives is guilty of breach of contract in the case of the Malé airport, and GMR the victim. But is there another side to the story? The contract was a revenue-sharing arrangement (one per cent till 2014, 10 per cent after that; also 15 per cent and 27 per cent revenue share on fuel). The contract allowed GMR to charge an airport development fee (users of Delhi airport, also run by GMR, will be familiar with this issue). The issue went to court in Malé, which in late 2011 struck down the fee as illegal. The Maldives then allowed GMR to set off its revenue share against the fee that might have been collected. The consequences became clear in the first quarter of 2012, when a revenue share for the Maldives of INR538 million was reduced to INR31 million after setting off the airport fee. By the second quarter, the Maldives instead of receiving revenue share was asked to pay INR93 million; the bill climbed further in the third quarter, totalling INR217 million. The new Maldives government feared that, far from receiving an expected INR62 billion, it might end up paying massive sums to GMR over the 25-year period of the contract, extendable by 10 years. Abrogation of the agreement followed. Readers will see parallels with the Enron/Dabhol case, where Maharashtra was in the position of the Maldives government: stuck with a contract that would ruin the state, but faced with severe penalties if it walked away. India eventually paid a price for throwing out Enron, and that may well be the fate awaiting the Maldives. Where should our sympathies lie?
Cut to another case. Back in 2011, Pankaj Oswal was riding high; his company in Western Australia was supremely profitable, and he and his wife set up an extravagant home outside Perth that got a lot of press attention. Soon, however, the headlines became negative; there were allegations of money being siphoned out of Burrup Fertiliser to privately held firms in Singapore, and Burrup went into receivership. Mr Oswal and his wife left Australia and their fancy home outside Perth, and are said to be in Dubai or Singapore.
The question to be asked, as more and more Indian businessmen invest overseas, is whether we are risking the birth of the “ Ugly Indian”. Lakshmi Mittal’s problems in France, where the French government has threatened to nationalise a unit of Arcelor Mittal, would seem to have more to do with the vagaries of French politics. But there is also the case of Jindal Steel and Power (JSP), which had to exit Bolivia in May. JSP had made headlines in 2007 by bagging the world’s largest untapped iron ore mine, and agreeing to set up a steel plant in Bolivia. Amid a welter of charges and counter-charges, a new Bolivian government said the company had not fulfilled its investment targets, while it said the government had not provided it with the required natural gas for fuel. End of project, no steel plant and no iron ore.
In both Bolivia and the Maldives, there was a change of government before contracts were cancelled. France too has seen a change of tune after the François Hollande government assumed office. India has its own history of throwing out companies after a change of government — Coca- Cola and IBM after the Janata came to power in 1977; Enron after the Shiv Sena government took charge in Maharashtra in 1995. Now the boot is on the other foot, and poses tricky challenges for Indian diplomacy (should the government automatically back Indian companies?), as well as for India’s entrepreneurs. Companies get into all manner of scrapes in the crony-capitalist business environment at home (Jindal in the coalgate affair, GMR over the Delhi airport), but continue doing business; thet consequences in another country are quite different, and also on a wider plane.
(Source: “Weekend Ruminations” by T.N. Ninan in Business Standard dated 01-12-2012)

Chains of gold – Reduce Gold imports, but don’t punish those holding gold

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The import of two items contributes disproportionately to India’s record trade gap and current account deficit. One of these, namely energy imports, is unavoidable. The strong demand for the other item – gold – is driven by several factors and may perhaps be reduced. India imports up to a quarter of annual global production, and gold imports equal 75 per cent of the current account deficit. Gold has always been a traditional repository of savings, and households contribute 80 per cent of demand. An estimated 25,000 tonnes of bullion is held by Indian households. While that is an impressive stock of wealth, it is unproductive and earns no interest. It has, however, been an excellent hedge against inflation. In the last three years, high inflation and slow GDP growth have made alternative assets like equity and debt unattractive. At the same time, gold has gained against hard currencies, as debt-to-GDP ratios have hit worrying levels across the euro zone and the US.
The asset mis-allocation arising from a focus on gold is unlikely to change until there’s an economic rebound. The policy priority now should be to reduce imports, without depriving investors of possible upsides from holding the metal. The gems and jewellery industry has suggested ways in which domestic institutions could release some holdings for exports via, say, “working capital” loans of gold. A scheme where individual Indians can sell gold for hard currency may help reverse the one-way flow, but this is probably too radical for the mandarins to consider. Creative financial engineering could perhaps find other ways to unlock that store of 25,000 tonnes. RBI Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn recently suggested offering gold-backed bonds or reverse mortgage schemes on household holdings of the metal. Previous experiments with such schemes have not been successful. This was partly due to rigidity in income-tax treatment and also because jewellery had to be melted down. Any new scheme would have to be structured to circumvent such known issues — but, given the trend, the sooner such  ideas are implemented, the better.

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When gold falls – Govt cannot assume it will solve current account problem

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Gold prices, which have been falling for the last six months, have a major impact on the current account deficit. The precious metal is the second-largest item in the import bill. The current account deficit is running at $75 billion, and gold imports at $42 billion (April 2012-January 2013) account for over half that. Indian households are the biggest gold bugs in the world; they hold, according to some estimates, over 25,000 tonnes. The precious metal is now in the middle of the longest correction of the last 15 years, with the price down 15 per cent from the all-time highs of 2012. If the trend continues, it could considerably ease worries on the external front. Given that the first 10 months of 2012-13 saw imports of $42 billion, full-year imports will be lower than the $56 billion imported in 2011-12. But in January 2013, as prices fell, the month’s imports rose 23 per cent in volume terms, to over 100 tonnes. This spike was partly driven by speculation that import duty would be hiked in the Budget, which was not the case. However, if demand is elastic enough, the fear is that the import bill may actually increase despite lower prices. Indian prices track international prices closely, with a premium in the festive season as weddings account for a base demand of about 500 tonnes. The traditional fascination with gold has been reinforced by a 10-year bull run, at a compounded annual growth rate of over 19 per cent. Gold went up from about $300/ounce (about $11 a gram) in 2002 to an all-time high of above $1,900 ($66 a gram) in mid-2012 before dropping back to the current $1,600 ($53 a gram). In the past three years, its value as a hedge has also come into play as consumer inflation ran high. The reputation as a hedge against currency weakness and inflation may have been self-fulfilling. As fears of currency weakness developed, legendary traders such as George Soros and John Paulson took massive positions, driving prices up. The Indian government has tried several measures to reduce domestic gold demand, without much success. The import duty has been raised from two per cent to six per cent in phases. It cannot be raised further without attracting smuggling on a large scale. The 2013-14 Budget introduced the concept of inflation-indexed bonds, which may be an alternative hedge. Such an instrument would have to be structured and marketed in a fashion that appeals to conservative housewives, who view gold as a default asset.

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Judges must stay clear of policy matters unless in conflict with Constitution: CJI

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Judges should not normally interfere with policy matters unless they are in conflict with the Constitution and the law, Chief Justice of India Altamas Kabir said on Sunday at the end of a conference of chief justices of High Courts and state Chief Ministers. Judges should also refrain from commenting unnecessarily on other constitutional authorities, he said. “As a general principle, we don’t interfere.”

The CJI’s remarks can be seen as both introspection and a cautionary note to courts which have been very active of late in policy areas. The top court itself is dealing with several challenges to policy whether it be FDI in retail, coal block allocations or environmental clearances to major industrial projects.

The top court’s decision to set aside 2G spectrum licences over irregularities had marked a remarkable departure from courts’ reluctance to interfere in policy matters. Responding to a question about the proposed Judges’ Accountability Bill, which has a clause that bars judges from commenting on unrelated issues while dealing with a case, the Chief Justice said: “Unnecessary comments should not be made. I agree on that.”

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PM Manmohan Singh – Analytical lion, prescriptive lamb

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The speech given by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to business leaders last week was unfortunately overshadowed in media coverage by a largely vacuous speech by Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi to the same audience.

Singh provided a clear sense of how he looks at the current economic situation. There was little to fault there in terms of economic analysis, though one cannot miss the hidden irony that he spoke as if the policy mess created by his government since 2004 has no role in the current slowdown.

There are three significant points he made.

First, the general economic slowdown cannot be dealt with unless there is a revival in private sector investment. Singh believes investment depends on the psychological mood, or what John Maynard Keynes called animal spirits of entrepreneurs.

Second, Singh did well to highlight the absolute necessity to bring down the fiscal deficit, not only because of its inevitable inflationary consequences but also its role in undermining the India growth story. Once again, there was no mention of why we are close to a fiscal crisis. The fiscal deterioration began before the crisis, with the farm loan waiver in February 2008.

Finally, Singh warned that the current account deficit, still the single biggest risk to economic stability, will be higher than acceptable for at least a few more years. “We have to accept that our exports will be weak and our current account deficit…higher than it should be,” he said. “We have to learn to cope with these problems.” He added that India will have to plan to finance a high current account deficit for a few years.

Singh’s speech had professorial clarity of analysis but lacked a strong agenda one expects from a national leader. That is an old problem.

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Empowering a new CAG

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Many recent reports of the Comptroller and Auditor General of India (CAG) have highlighted grave discrepancies in government expenditure and deliberate distortions of stated policies. These reports and their aftermath demonstrate the true potential of the office of the CAG to force action against corruption. As the custodian of the public purse, it is one of the key actors in the system of checks and balances envisaged under our Constitution. In fact, today the CAG is likely the most important functionary responsible for ensuring accountability of the government.

However, the CAG can do justice to this role only if he is competent, independent and suitably empowered. Sadly, the current framework compromises this, leaving room for abuse in appointments, as well as limiting the CAG’s authority to effectively perform his constitutional duties. This is particularly important now, as the appointment of a new CAG looms on the horizon.

The CAG’s appointment process is a legacy from the pre-Independence ‘not-accountable-to-Indians’ mindset, whereby it is entirely at the government’s discretion. Given the governing coalition’s exasperation with the incumbent, it is probable that this time around it will look for someone who is likely to be favorably inclined towards the government, or at the least be ineffective.

To ensure that the independence of the CAG does not depend on the morals of the government of the day, his appointment should reflect real checks and balances. My formula would have the CAG appointed by a committee consisting of the Speaker, the prime minister and the two leaders of the opposition in the Lok Sabha and the Rajya Sabha. Their choice should be by simple majority and, in the event of a tie, it should be referred to the Chief Justice of India to cast the deciding vote.

Many infrastructure projects are now undertaken in the PPP mode, involving transfer of public assets (for instance, oilfields) and revenue sharing between the government and the private sector. Many of these newer structures are presently outside the ambit of the CAG. This reduces oversight and creates avenues for corruption. Therefore, the scope of the CAG’s powers must be expanded to include such arrangements.

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Treaty won’t shield FIIs from General Anti-Avoidance Regulations

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Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) that benefit from tax treaties, including the contentious India- Mauritius tax treaty, will fall under the ambit of General Anti-Avoidance Regulations (GAAR). On the other hand, the rules, notified by the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) have spared the participatory notes (P-Notes), through which many foreign investors invest in India. The new rules come into effect from the financial year 2015-16.

The rules also notify that GAAR shall not apply where the tax benefit arising to all parties to an arrangement (any investment transaction or even business transactions like lease) does not exceed Rs 3 crore in a financial year. Grandfathering or protection of past transactions from the application of GAAR is also provided by the rules. Only FIIs that have not taken the benefit of any tax treaty entered into by India and who have invested in listed or unlisted securities with the prior permission of the relevant authorities – Sebi or other regulatory guidelines – shall not be covered by GAAR.

The GAAR rules provide amnesty only for FIIs not claiming treaty benefits. This is practically meaningless as it would not settle any controversy around the India-Mauritius tax treaty. The rules clarify that foreign investors investing in an FII via an offshore derivate investment shall not be covered by GAAR. This is a welcome step. However, as regards FIIs, in order to provide certainty all FIIs, including those seeking tax treaty benefits, should have been excluded from GAAR.

Under the provisions of the Income Tax Act, GAAR applies to an impermissible avoidance arrangement. If the main purpose of an arrangement is to obtain a tax benefit and it also satisfies certain other tests, such as the transaction lacks commercial substance, it is regarded as an impermissible avoidance arrangement. The tax benefits or benefits arising out of tax treaties applicable to such transactions can be denied by the tax authorities. As the tax implications of a transaction falling within the GAAR ambit are onerous, the rules may unsettle the FII community. For instance, if the arrangement of investing into India via a favourable country is treated as a transaction where the main aim was to obtain a tax benefit and if the transaction was considered as lacking commercial substance, or was treated as resulting in abuse of the Income tax Act provisions, the tax treaty benefits could be denied. Tax officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that genuine investors are unlikely to come within the GAAR ambit and there is no cause for panic.

Under the India-Mauritius tax treaty, sale of investments in India by a resident of Mauritius can be subject to tax only in Mauritius, which does not levy any capital gains tax. India does not tax long-term capital gains arising on sale of listed securities (which are held for more than a year). However, short-term capital gains, where shares are held for less than a year, are taxed. Sale of unlisted securities is also subject to tax.

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Allow FDI into online retail

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There is muddled thinking and myopia on foreign direct investment (FDI) in retail e-commerce. It makes no sense to allow FDI in retailing of the standard brick-and-mortar variety and disallow FDI in online retail — thankfully, 100% FDI is permitted in business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce.

The plain fact is that retailers now value both internet-enabled and offline, across-the-counter sales, and the policy moves lately to enable FDI in retail would be incomplete sans clearcut liberalisation and opening up in online retail. Assorted domestic ventures in online retail starve for capital and the best way to attract both capital for these ventures and foreign exchange for the larger economy is to remove the restriction on FDI in online retail.

The policy change to allow FDI in retail e-commerce would boost investments, rev up stable capital inflows, modernise the entire retail sector here and, in the process, bring in new expertise, knowhow and shore up hiring and employment in myriad related ways. Note that it is now standard practice for online retailers to have offline presence too, including in prime footfall areas, for seamless brandbuilding.

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One Should Never Waste A Good Crisis

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Talk about India’s glorious long-term future is, these days, as commonplace as India’s glorious past long ago. And as trite. That is one reason why the ET Awards jury’s discussion of India’s future prospects last week struck a refreshing note. Jury members saw not just the glass spilling over in the future but also filling up fast in the current year. Tafe chairman and CEO Mallika Srinivasan is very clued into agriculture, as you would expect a manufacturer of heavy-duty tractors to be, and points out that the extra-bountiful south-western monsoon would drive up economic growth this fiscal, both by pushing up farm output and by generating rural demand for a variety of industrial produce.

ICICI Bank chairman K V Kamath concurs, and expects accelerated project clearance by the government finally bringing some life to the comatose infrastructure sector. HDFC Bank managing director Aditya Puri sees the current gloom as being overdone. While he is in favour of taking measures to counter what he called dumping of artificially cheap manufactured goods in India by China, Deutsche Bank co-CEO Anshu Jain defended the benefits of free trade.

We endorse his call for using the crisis on the external front and slowdown in economic growth to concentrate on fixing long-term structural problems. But we also see that this calls for bipartisan cooperation, whether to introduce a goods and services tax or scrap the law that institutionalises middleman control over marketing agricultural produce, a major source of food inflation.

Unilever COO Harish Manwani was in a good position to underline global faith in the Indian economy, in the wake of his company’s INR300-billion open offer to increase its stake in the Indian subsidiary. Sequoia Capital MD Shailendra Singh attested to continuing vigour in startups and entrepreneurship. His optimism on technology absorption was not just echoed by Unique Identity Authority chairman Nandan Nilekani but amplified by him to posit digital inclusion leading to a quantum leap in productivity and growth. We agree, emphatically. (Source: The Economic Times dated 24-09-2013)

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The irony of India story

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Whenever I meet investors around the world, the most pressing question is: what happened to India? It was supposed to prove to the world that even a noisy, chaotic and populous democracy could deliver high growth. It was seen as the answer to China and its authoritarian economic model. Given all the hope and hype, it’s not surprising that there is now so much disappointment with India

Today, however, most investors refuse to acknowledge India as a competitor to China. Any comparison is rubbished because we are seen as being incapable of execution.

To many investors, India does not seem to have a long-term strategic game plan, and the lurch towards populism is scary. Everyone is convinced that this is a largely self-inflicted problem. The great demographic dividend is seen by most as an upcoming demographic disaster, given India’s inability to provide skills training to its people or to create jobs.

I try to think what the root cause of our travails is. I know we will point to policy paralysis, the global slowdown, lack of political will and interest in reforms, judicial activism and so on. These are serious problems, but the source of our travails goes back even further – when India was included in the BRIC group.

The inclusion of India in the BRIC group, as well as the surge in global capital flows and attention that this brought, lulled the country’s policy makers into complacency. We started believing that we were the next big thing, and that we had a god-given right to grow at eight or nine per cent for decades. We ignored the lessons of economic history, which clearly show that few countries have actually been able to deliver this type of sustained high growth. We seemed to believe that even with no effort we were destined to join this select club.

However, a great deal of effort was required to sustain this growth – serious reform, institutional adaptation, and the willingness to take some tough decisions, which could have caused short-term pain. It is here that we have been found lacking. As we began to believe in our growth acceleration and in its permanence, we started putting in place spending programmes to utilise this revenue windfall – not once questioning what would happen if growth slowed. Many economies get stuck in the so-called middleincome trap, wherein institutional weaknesses prevent the realisation of an economy’s full growth potential, which normally happens at a much higher level of income per capita (typically above INR432,871-8,000 a year). India seems to have stalled at far lower levels of economic development. This is largely due to complacency and an unwillingness to make structural improvements to our economy. I think the current growth slowdown, although harmful in terms of economic hardship, has at least shaken our policy makers out of their complacency. No longer does anyone believe that we will grow at eight or nine per cent, irrespective of policy action. Everyone acknowledges that we don’t have all the answers and that there are lessons to be learnt from other economies. Therein lies an opportunity for India. Just when most people have given up on us and on our ability to make the economic course correction required to regain a strong growth trajectory, the odds of us making the necessary changes have never been higher. Irrespective of which government comes to power in 2014, I am confident that the changes required for us to regain our growth trajectory will be implemented. Ironically, belief in India’s long-term growth outlook has never been weaker, but the chances that we will take the necessary steps to deliver that growth have never been stronger. (Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Ajay Shah in the Economic Times dated 10.10.2013)

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Self brand positioning

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Despite the common misperception that all introverts are shy, and vice versa, they’re two very different phenomena. (One expert defines shyness as “the fear of negative judgement”, while introversion is “a preference for quiet, minimally stimulating environments”.)

It’s true that many of the best ways to establish your brand in the professional world are still weighted toward extroverts: taking leadership positions in professional associations, starting your own conference or networking group, or — indeed — embracing public speaking… First, social media may actually be an area where introverts, who thrive on quiet contemplation, have an advantage.

With a blog — one of the best techniques for demonstrating thought leadership — you can take your time, formulate your thoughts and engage in dialogue with others. Next, with a little strategy and effort, you can become a connector one person at a time… Simply placing diplomas or awards on your office walls can help reinforce your expertise.

In popular imagination, personal branding is often equated with high-octane, flesh-pressing showmanship. But there are other, sometimes better, ways to define yourself and your reputation. Taking the time to reflect and be thoughtful about how you’d like to be seen and living that out through your writing, interpersonal relationships and decor is a powerful way to ensure you are seen as the leader you are.

From “Personal Branding for Introverts”.
(Source: Extracts from “Personal Branding for Introverts” by Dorie Clark : The Economic Times dated 25-09-2013).

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A Parliament of crooks could reward dishonesty and punish the lawful.

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Is the Indian polity becoming a Parliament of fouls? According to a TOI report, the figures for serious criminal charges are between 20 and 200 times higher among members of Parliament than among the general population at large.

What is it about Indian politics that makes it so conducive to criminal activity? Is it that it is largely the criminally inclined who are drawn to politics in India? Or is it that the country’s system of politics has become so tainted with illegality that even decent individuals soon find themselves corrupted?

Whatever the reason, India’s Parliament has increasingly come to resemble the local chapter of Mafia Inc. Those who backed the ordinance which sought to overturn the Supreme Court ruling that legislators sentenced for crimes carrying a sentence of two years or more in prison would lose their elected seats may have had a point. If all legislators so sentenced – a la Lalu Prasad – were to lose their seats, Parliament might well find itself so depopulated as to confront the country with a deficiency of democracy.

Pursuing this line of argument it could be reasoned that in order to safeguard our increasingly criminalised democracy, instead of making convicted legislators give up their seats, measures must be taken to ensure that sentenced MPs retain their seats, come what may. In order to do this, it would be necessary to override the SC ruling via a constitutional amendment requiring a two-third majority vote in Parliament.

Towards this laudable end, all political parties must in future field candidates with suitably impressive criminal credentials, and see to it that they get elected, by hook or by crook, quite literally. If voters in a particular constituency are so disobliging as to reject all the candidates because of their criminal records, a re-election fielding the same set of candidates should be held and a satisfactory result obtained by the tried-and-tested expedient of booth-capturing.

Eventually we would get a Parliament composed wholly of criminal elements. Such a Parliament could devise appropriate legislation to solve, once and for all, the vexatious problem of the criminalisation of politics. It would do this by using its supreme legislative authority to decriminalise not politics – not just an impossible task, but also an undesirable one, given the circumstances – but to decriminalise crime itself.

If crime, of all variety, were to be legitimised by parliamentary diktat, not just politics but all of society would at one stroke be made totally, 100% crime-free. Thanks to its uniquely innovative Parliament, India would be the first country in the world to achieve this distinction.

Henceforth, state awards and honours would be bestowed on thugs, goons and scamsters who showed the most enterprise and ingenuity in their chosen field of activity. By the same token, those displaying the reprehensible and anti-social traits of honesty and uprightness would be suitably punished for their errant ways. 8 Outlawry would be the order of the day, and dishonesty would not only be the best policy but the only policy. A Parliament full of MPs – Mafia Politicos – would ensure this. Criminals of India unite, you have nothing to lose but your crimes.

(Source: Column “Second Opinion” by Mr. Jug Suraiya in the Times of India dated 16-10-2013.)

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Attrition: The ticking time bomb in industry

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Attrition is a complex, cultural and leadership challenge with no easy answers. What is the impact of high attrition? It erodes consumer loyalty, hurting brand reputation. High attrition creates a vacuum at middle-management, which should handle execution.

Attrition creates a middle management that’s tasted neither success nor failure. Weak middle management delivers faulty, corner-cutting processes. It forces senior management to work a level lower, forsaking the bigger picture. A weak middle management means poor mentorship of entry-level managers, hurting long-term leadership development.

Why do we see high attrition? The first is economic; new industries open up when GDP grows faster than 5%. Talent in established industries is raided to staff newer industries. FMCG is the talent bank in India, funding telecom, retail, health and entertainment industries.

The next reason is “hurried aspiration.” Everyone is in a hurry to be a young vice-president or a CEO, to own the latest car and television or to take that exotic holiday. This forces people to take risks with their loans, and anyone with an EMI payment greater than 25% of his takehome salary is constantly in the job market, to reduce that to below 10%. Hurried aspiration is fuelled by average headhunters who create insecurity and peer pressure by transacting CVs between managers and firms. Performance evaluation is loose and incomplete, based more on potential and less on merit.

What do Indians value at work? The top five factors are: job security, career advancement, base pay and title, learning and development, and the reputation of the organisation. A company must grow. If it doesn’t, people leave. Learning and development is the Achilles’ heel in India. Companies do not invest much in training and developing talent: this is the first reason quoted by exiting employees. The cost of training and development is minuscule, but it is the first item cut in tough times. On-the-job learning from leaders is something young people value. Leaders in India must coach young employees; this will lead to higher engagement, better performance and lower attrition.

Culturally, we need to change. We should value contracts, which we don’t do today. Our contracts are social in nature and less legal or economic. Employees will need a moral compass of right and wrong: joining competition, refusing to join a new firm at the last minute, burning bridges and so on.

Companies will need to be flexible, using innovative policies for women, building alumni networks and designing customised career paths. Firms must differentiate on merit early to keep top talent. They should build a stronger middle-management pool by rewarding those who stay. Senior leaders must engage, coach and grow talent. Firms should start learn-and earn internships.

(Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Shiv Shivakumar in The Economic Times dated 23-09-2013).

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On Delay and Dither

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Strategic decisiveness is one of the most vital success attributes for leaders in every position and every industry, but few leaders understand where it comes from or how to find more of it. It is not surprising that picking one strategic direction and then decisively pursuing that direction are hallmarks of good leadership… The big mystery is why these obviously important skills are still rare enough to distinguish excellent leaders from average managers.

Psychologist Georges Potworowski at the University of Michigan found that certain personality traits —such as emotional stability, self-efficacy, social boldness and locus of control — predict why some people are naturally more decisive than others.

When faced with two equally attractive strategic options, timid, less emotionally stable leaders who fear upsetting anyone will let the debate drag on for weeks or months before selecting a compromised Frankenstein solution that both sides can merely tolerate.

More decisively-gifted managers make it clear from the beginning that they will carefully consider both sides of the argument, but will choose what they judge to be best for their team. They make the decision early on, and move quickly to enlist both sides in executing their decision. Some members of the team are not thrilled with the choice but are quietly pleased to finally have some clarity of direction… All of us have the potential to be decisive or indecisive.

(Source: Extracts from “Just Make a Decision Already” by Nick Tasler : The Economic Times dated 10-10-2013).

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From anxiety to complacency in six weeks?

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Hardly six weeks ago a sense of grim crisis pervaded India’s economic policy-making circles and much of the public at large. The underlying causes are well known: the post-2011 collapse of growth and investor confidence, major problems in the infrastructure and energy sectors, persistently high inflation, shrinking job opportunities, and large fiscal and external account deficits. The alarm bell that had most strongly signalled (and reflected) the onset of economic crisis was the plummeting value of the rupee, which had dropped from 53-54 to the US dollar in May to nearly 69 by end-August. The rupee’s free fall had occurred despite a wide range of measures to reduce gold imports, restrict external payments and drastically tighten monetary policy.

As the currency and financial markets recovered, the sense of crisis and urgency dissipated swiftly. By early October senior government officials were reportedly exuding confidence. Let us consider the realism of these official macroeconomic expectations.

A significant question is: how much has this decline in gold imports through official channels been substituted by an increase in smuggled gold? Another major imponderable is the impact of the ongoing US government shutdown and possible failure to raise the debt ceiling. On the one hand, such uncertainties are likely to prolong current levels of QE and, thus, ease the financing of India’s current account deficit. On the other, a significant setback to US and global economic activity could damp exports of goods and services and reignite global financial turmoil. It is impossible to assess the net effects on India’s external accounts at this stage.

The government’s expectation of 5.5 per cent growth this year looks decidedly optimistic. Aside from a good, monsoon-propelled performance in agriculture (which accounts for only 15 per cent of India’s GDP) and a modest recent uptick in some core sectors (from depressed levels) and some exports, it is hard to locate signs of a significant resurgence in economic activity.

The most implausible element in the finance ministry’s present confident/complacent macro expectations pertains to the fiscal deficit target of 4.8 per cent of GDP. In sum, the fiscal deficit could be overshot by a significant margin by the time the fiscal year ends. In the first five months of 2013-14, the Centre’s fiscal deficit ratio has been running at a whopping 8.7 per cent of GDP. Bringing it down to 4.8 per cent in the remaining seven months looks impossibly difficult, without recourse to seriously creative accounting ploys.

In any case, it is worth pointing out that a deficit that stays high through most of the year imposes the associated costs of higher inflation, higher interest rates, more crowding out of private investment and greater pressure on the current account deficit during the period, even if “miraculously” corrected in the final months. It is also worth emphasising that if the months unfold without any serious policies to correct the deficit, there is a growing risk of negative external perceptions (including a possible credit rating downgrade), which could have serious adverse consequences for external financing of the current account deficit and for currency markets.

In other words, India’s macroeconomic condition remains quite shaky and certainly does not warrant an iota of complacency. This is doubly true if one considers the available patchy data on employment trends, which point to miserable job prospects for the country’s burgeoning youth population.

(Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Shankar Acharya in the Business Standard dated 09.10.2013)

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Managing humanely

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In the half century since Peter Drucker coined the term “knowledge workers”, these employees have become not just an important part of the workforce but the dominant part. The two critical drivers of productivity in any production process are the way the work is structured and the company’s ability to capture the lessons of experience. These drivers are, of course, interdependent: how you structure the work influences your ability to learn from it. In decision factories, a mismatch between the reality of work and the way it is structured leads directly to inefficiencies in allocating knowledge work. Knowledge work actually comes primarily in the form of projects, not routine daily tasks… Knowledge workers experience big swings between peaks and valleys of decision-making intensity. That VP of marketing will be busy during the launch of an important product or when a competitive threat arises — and really, really busy if the two overlap. Between these spells, however, she will have few or even no decisions to make, and she may have little to do but catch up on emails… All managers in all areas tend to staff for what they perceive as the peak demand for knowledge work in their area of responsibility.

This institutionalises a significant level of excess capacity spread in small increments throughout decision factories. That is why decision factory productivity is a persistent modern challenge.

(Source: Extracts from “Rethinking the Decision Factory” by Roger Martin : The Economic Times dated 24-09-2013).

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Government for governors – We are on our way to creating Djilas’ New Class

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Abraham Lincoln, in his Gettysburg address, talked beguilingly of “government of the people, for the people, by the people”. We could describe the system that we have developed as government of the governors, for the governors, and by the governors. Exhibit 1 in support is the Cabinet’s decision to issue an ordinance that will protect Lalu Prasad from losing his seat in the Lok Sabha, should a court find him guilty of corruption in the fodder scam case. A Bill that would protect everyone in Mr Prasad’s shoes has already been moved in Parliament, and got pushed to committee because no one was sure it would stand being tested in court. Still, with the Bill before Parliament, there was only one reason for an ordinance – to protect someone who did not have time on his side, namely Mr Prasad. That smells very much like government for the governors.

Exhibit 2 is the decision to allow designated members of three all-India services (including the Indian Administrative Service and the Indian Police Service) to go overseas for medical treatment, accompanied by a family member, at government cost. Why the police, and not the armed forces, one could ask. After all, soldiers face enemy bullets. And why an IAS officer who may be in the department of mines, and not India’s most important space or nuclear scientist? What’s different about the IAS and IPS? There’s only one answer: they are the guys who move the files and get them approved. Poor generals and scientists have no say in the matter. Once again, government of, for and by the governors.

What is particularly galling is that the same officers responsible for failing to provide a proper public health system have managed their own escape from the mess they have created. First they gave themselves access to private hospitals, and now it is hospitals in other countries. What about people waiting for a bed in government hospitals? Well, tough luck, you don’t belong to the IAS, so you can’t go at taxpayer’s expense to Sloan-Kettering.

Then consider the Member of Parliament Local Area Development Scheme (MPLADS), allowed to members of Parliament for spending on local area development. First, this violates the principle of separation of powers – elected representatives legislate, debate and ask questions; the executive that answers to these elected representatives proposes and implements spending programmes. Second, it started as Rs. 1 crore per constituency each year, then grew to Rs. 2 crore and Rs. 5 crore – for each of nearly 800 MPs every year, which means Rs. 20,000 crore every five years. It is an open secret that the scheme is open to misuse, but who is to bell the cat?

Exhibit 4 is the latest announcement on a pay commission for eight million central government employees and pensioners. Everyone knows that, at the lower levels of government, pay packages are well above what the market pays. These are not people who should get another pay hike, especially when the fiscal deficit is too large. On the other hand, there is a case for paying more at senior levels, because private sector salaries are way ahead and the gap needs to be narrowed. But for that you don’t need a pay commission. Remember that Rajiv Gandhi simply ordered a special allowance for officers on the top rung, because they had not got a pay hike in 30 years. But the government takes care of its own, and also wants votes; so we have a pay commission.

One could add other examples; eg, politicians already spend large sums on airports that only they use. So why not go all the way to creating Milovan Djilas’ New Class, and have exclusive dachas, special lanes for their cars … the works?

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Judicious economics – Time to consider the economic impact of recent SC judgments

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The Supreme Court is amongst India’s most respected and trusted institutions. Its rulings are rarely questioned on legal merits and the only way to get around the ones that cause discomfort to the government is to amend the law. The country can take great comfort from the stature and credibility of this institution when it comes to enforcing the rule of law. However, as desirable as it is that laws should be strictly enforced, there is a flip side to this. Significant decisions by the Supreme Court often have significant economic consequences. At no other time has this been more obvious than the present.

Over the past two years, a number of judgments have, notwithstanding their rectitude, had enormous macroeconomic impacts. The banning of iron ore mining in Karnataka and Goa significantly reduced exports of ore, which declined by over $4 billion over a two-year period. The coal imbroglio led to the Supreme Court cancelling all the licences that were issued to private entities, making the country dependent on imports for the foreseeable future. India, with its enormous thermal coal reserves, is now importing over $8 billion worth of coal – mainly to run power plants, which, ironically, were set up close to domestic coal beds. Likewise, the 2G telecom scandal, which resulted in the cancellation of several licences, disrupted the plans of several major foreign telecom companies, which had seen India as an attractive market for expansion. Potential foreign investors will now be extremely wary of entering the country with the risk that supposedly legitimate agreements and contracts are suddenly declared illegal. All these instances have contributed to an enormous increase in the economy’s external vulnerability, with the first two making a huge dent in the current account deficit and the third likely to make India a less attractive destination for foreign direct investment.

A number of fundamental questions arise here. First, whatever the legal merits of each instance of judicial action, should the Supreme Court not routinely consider the potential economic consequences of its decisions? It is clearly not required to do so now, but it would be reasonable to argue that the rule of law and economic well-being are important determinants of social welfare. If indeed the Supreme Court had considered the economic consequences, would its rulings have been somewhat different – perhaps allowing for a tightly monitored but phased compliance with environmental regulations in the case of iron ore, and an assessment of the genuineness of parties in the licence allocation processes? From a larger perspective, though, there is a particularly troubling question. Did the Indian economy achieve its best ever growth performance during 2003-08 on the basis of widespread violations of various laws and regulations? As compliance is more strictly enforced, is slower growth an inevitability? Only time will answer this question. Meanwhile, while there can be no compromise on regulatory compliance and the rule of law, a balance between this objective and its economic consequences needs to be worked out so that it can be achieved without too high a price being paid. It would be good practice for the Supreme Court to commission a rigorous economic impact analysis on key issues coming up before it while making a final ruling.

(Source: Business Standard dated 23.10.2013)
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Political Funding – Kejriwal gets it Right: Screen all Parties

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A probe ordered into the sources of funding of a political party — whether that order comes from the government itself or is prompted by the judiciary — would seem a move against a primary source of corruption in India. But why should such a probe be limited to one single party? Thus, while the Centre says it will investigate whether the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) violated rules on its sources of funding, it makes for an utterly skewed situation when other parties are not subject to a similar investigation. Reform of political funding is a key, perhaps the most significant, part of combating the malaise of corruption in India. As long as parties do not disclose their sources of income and how that money is spent, political corruption will continue to facilitate corruption within the wider polity.

Unless the move to investigate the transparency claims of the AAP widens into probing the secretive nature of how other parties — including the Congress and the BJP — collect funds, it would seem to be a bullying tactic against a political opponent. To its credit, AAP has maintained it can account for every donation it receives. The website of the party does have a donors list. And this is a welcome paradigm shift. There is nothing even remotely similar from the BJP and the Congress — the two parties facing the biggest threat from the AAP in the looming Delhi polls. And the AAP is perfectly right when it asks that the BJP and Congress be subjected to similar levels of transparency.

There is no comparison between the declared funds of AAP and that of the Congress and BJP. Add the amounts political parties do not declare, and we will have a humungous amount of money. Reforming such political funding is the larger goal. Targeting only a small, new political party is petty vendetta.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 13.11.2013).

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Fizz has Gone Out of India

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India has gone from a ‘must-invest’ to a ‘mustdeal- with’ country, PepsiCo Chairman and CEO Indra Nooyi said, expressing the ambivalence that many overseas businesses feel about a country that’s been tarnished by allegations of rampant political corruption, retrospective changes in law, policy reforms getting stuck and, to top it all off, an economic slump.

Uncertainties in tax policy, poor infrastructure and lack of clarity are among problems facing investors in India.

“‘Must invest’ means it’s a destination and GDP is growing. ‘Must deal with’ means there are infrastructure issues, the taxation policy is not clear or transparent. So people are saying, ‘Do I have to deal with India?’”

India-born Nooyi, who’s held the top job at PepsiCo for seven years, is still betting on the country as one of the company’s strongest markets.

Issues in India: Nooyi

“You have to fix the whole system,” she said. “Foreign investment can create the push, but the country has to create the pull, and if the country gives the pull, you can get lot of investments.” Nooyi said she asked Chidambaram about the minimum growth rate India needs to remain a healthy economy. “He said we need 8% growth, to stay healthy and come out of chronic unemployment. That’s an attractive growth rate if India can get back to it. That’s the growth rate he would like for India in the long term,” she said.

Nooyi said the fundamental reasons for investing in India haven’t gone away. “The middle class is still growing… You have a thriving striving democracy. Last 15 years, India has seen periods of incredible growth and years of sluggishness here and there,” she said.

“If you look at India, it has a fantastic population base — young, middle class still big and growing, an entrepreneurial culture, thriving democracy, a country that in the long-term still has lots of potential. We have to invest in the long-term fundamentals of the country. Hopefully, if companies keep showing their confidence in India, others will follow and the growth will pick up too.”

(Source: Extracts from an Article in the
Economic Times dated 12.11.2013)
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Giving the Babu a spine

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By asking that braces and struts be provided from all sides, will the Supreme Court be able to buttress the civil service spine so that it stands straight instead of bending over backwards, forward and sideways? Somehow, I doubt it. First, it is not certain that governments will do what the court has ordered. If the legislation asked for is not passed in three months, whom will the court haul up? The chief minister, or the speaker? That could provoke a constitutional crisis.

Second, some of what the court suggests as safeguards are already available to civil servants but have been used rarely. For instance, an officer can record oral instructions and send them to the minister for confirmation. One reason why this does not get done must be the threat of instant transfer to the boondocks, but an equally valid one is that officers have their own agendas and get into patron-client relationships with politicians fairly early in their careers. In a quid pro quo situation, no one is going to ask for written instructions. Third, the court assumes that officials would want a civil service board to decide on postings; this is far from clear, because one of the principal reasons why officials kowtow to ministers is the desire for preferred postings (or out-of-turn house allotments, or junkets). In short, the assumption that politicians are sharks preying upon helpless civil servants is a piece of fiction.

Fourth, no system can prevent a chief minister from choosing his own secretary as well as the chief secretary of the state. Between them, these two gentlemen pretty much have a clear field ahead of them – as the experience with the harassment of two IAS officers in Uttar Pradesh and Haryana should testify. Nor is it a good principle to adopt that all civil servants should have fixed tenures. It is worth following in situations like the one faced by A Raja as telecom minister; when his secretary refused to play ball, he simply got a more pliable man to replace him (with the Cabinet secretary/prime minister acquiescing). But equally, remember that Manmohan Singh as finance minister replaced his finance secretary and chief economic adviser, and put together a cohesive team. Is that flexibility to be always denied to a minister? Imagine a corrupt tax officer who has wangled a lucrative posting and who cannot then be touched for three years.

One must also ask: is the new facility of medical treatment overseas for IAS and IPS officials something that ministers thrust at reluctant officials? Is the utterly wasteful use of land in New Delhi’s New Moti Bagh for fresh government housing a ministerial or bureaucratic boondoggle? Bureaucrats have their private agendas just as ministers do and, let’s face it, a large number are as corrupt as any politician.

This is not to quarrel that the thrust of the court’s reform instinct should be disregarded. Rather, the room for flexibility and judgement should not be done away with, in the search for bulwarks against systemic abuse. Also, while it is necessary to stay the hand of politicians, so is it important to reform the bureaucracy. Hence, rule out mass transfers, not specific cases. Rule out more than one transfer in two or three years, so that there is no harassment. Professionalise the administration by reducing the scope for generalists to stray onto specialist turf, and introduce large-scale mid-level entry on contract. Have staggered retirement ages, as in the army – those who don’t make it to the next level in time are retired. Raise salaries, and fix them as a percentage of private sector pay at equivalent levels (as corruption-free Singapore does), but make government officials live as and among ordinary citizens, not as privileged rulers in special government enclaves.

Source: Weekend Ruminations by T.N. Ninan in Business Standard dated 02.11.2013)

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New global trade pacts may cut out India, China

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A new global trading system is being erected, almost unnoticed in India. One of its unstated aims is to check China’s rise through economic  discrimination. But it could end up discriminatingagainst India too.

Two major new international trade pacts are under negotiation. One is the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), creating a free trade area (FTA) of North America and East Asia (including Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Vietnam and some others). For the first time, a once-protectionist Japan plans to join the US in a region of free trade and investment. The unstated but clear Japanese signal is that China must be checked. For this, it is willing to consider dismantling its traditional trade and investment barriers.

The second big FTA under negotiation is the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), covering the US and the European Union. Historically, Europe has felt threatened by US multinationals, technology, and farm produce. The European Common Market came up with a common external tariff, aimed at binding together European members and standing up to competition from the US. But Europe’s recent economic stagnation, plus the rising threat from China, has concentrated minds wonderfully. Europe is now ready to consider a grand bargain with the US, mutually opening up investment, trade and services.

Earlier, the three economic giants — the US, Europe and Japan — saw one another as global rivals. Each sought to conclude FTAs with neighbours and selected developing countries, creating trade blocks within which each had tariff advanges tages. Now, for the first time, the three big players are seeking FTAs with one another.

What has changed? The rise of China, of course. Now, officials in Washington DC, Brussels and Tokyo will deny heatedly that either the TPP or TTIP is aimed against China. They will claim to be  merely carrying forward the logic of globalisationand global integration, a trend that has steadily deepened since World War II. But the strategic anti-China aim is clear.

Thus the world has shifted from multilateral deals (where all members agree to common conditions) to FTAs (where small groups extend mutual preferences, cutting out outsiders). India too has tried cutting deals with neighbours, but with few clear benefits, and some disadvantages. India has held preliminary talks on FTAs with the European Union and US, but these have run into serious headwinds.

Why? India is a more reluctant globaliser than trade rivals. In WTO, India always opposed free capital flows, free foreign bidding for Indian government contracts, untrammelled investment rights for foreign investors, liberal patent laws and lowered protection for agriculture. It is reluctant to give way on these issues in FTAs with the US or Europe.

But rival developing countries with fewer inhibitions have entered into dozens of FTAs with such conditions. This has given them a trade edge over India, one reason why Indian exports have risen so slowly over the last three years despite massive currency depreciation.

The richest countries are now moving to create giant economic agreements of their own. These, along with existing FTAs, will cover most international trade. This will cut out China. It may also cut out India, seriously disadvantaging it.

(Source : The Times of India dated 10.11.2013)

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Global review lauds CAG reports

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An international peer review of the CAG has appreciated its audit framework as “conceptually sound” while noting that stakeholders, including government departments, appreciate its reports as “valuable information”.

The CAG requested an international peer review in August 2011, less than a year after it submitted the 2G scam audit. The peer review team was led by the Australian National Audit Office and included representatives from audit bodies of Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands and the US.

“The objective of the peer review was to assess the extent to which the performance audit function of the Supreme Audit Institution (SAI) India adheres to applicable standards of professional practice; and to identify opportunities for improvement,” the report said.

 “During the peer review, we met with a range of SAI India’s stakeholders, including the PAC and COPU (Committee on Public Undertakings) members, and senior government officials. They advised that SAI India’s performance audits provide valuable information, often not otherwise available, on the performance and on-the ground impact of government programs and funding. Stakeholders also provided positive feedback on the quality of recent performance audit reports,” the report said.

The peer review team also recorded that the CAG’s Audit Quality Management Framework (AQMF) “is conceptually sound”, but there was a “need to strengthen the AQMF to increase the level of assurance provided to the CAG that these auditing requirements are consistently being met”. The review covered 35 performance audits from April 2010 to March 2011 that covered the period when the 2G audit was also submitted.

The peer group found that there was “variability” in CAG’s adherence to applicable standards of professional practice across the performance audit function. “Individual audit guidelines, which outline the plan for each audit, were developed for all but one of the performance audits in the peer review sample,” it said. The CAG “also interacted with the audited entities in accordance with accepted conventions, including seeking to conduct entry and exit conferences and providing a draft audit report to the audited entity for comment. The peer group said areas where CAG could improve in “the application of reporting standards” to make them more “balanced, fair, persuasive, and satisfy audit objectives.” It also said that there was scope in about half of the considered reports to be more balanced in content and tone.

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Coalgate – Hysteria over individual culpability at the expense of institutional change is futile

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India is in thrall to sleaze. The executive is hostage to serial charges of corruption, enfeebling it. The judiciary feels encouraged to step outside the remit of determining what is lawful, to pronounce on policy. The legislature is dysfunctional, as the Opposition professes outrage and prevents both debate and lawmaking. Public focus is on the empirical specifics of particular scams, rarely on quick fixes, and never on systemic and institutional reform.

Take the coal scam. What precisely is the scam? Once a framework of state monopoly in coal mining is taken for granted, as also that monopoly’s incapacity to mine sufficient quantities to meet the demand, it makes sense to allow those who use coal as a vital input to have their own captive mines. In this framework, the sources of government revenue are royalty on the mined coal and taxes on the profits generated from the use of coal. These accrue, regardless of the identity of the captive miners. So, the malfeasance in allocating captive mines to cronies lies not so much in loss of revenue for the government as in some entities arguably more entitled to the mines losing them to those less deserving.

Two things make access to domestic coal scamworthy: state monopoly in coal leading to shortages and repressed pricing at a discount to imported coal. Remove these two features, and auction coal mines to whoever offers the highest lease rental/ royalty/revenue share, there would be no more coal scams. But such institutional remedies are not on anyone’s mind. The closest thing to a policy remedy on the agenda is auctioning captive mines, which is a flawed, suboptimal solution. Differential importance of coal in different industries calls for separate, industry-wise auctions of captive mines. Instead of holistic policy remedies, the entire debate is on fixing culpability at individual and political levels. Such arbitrary grant of mines and other patronage have been part and parcel of the default mode of funding politics in India — through the proceeds of corruption. The systemic solution is to institute complete transparency as to the source of every paisa collected and spent by politicians and political parties. This interests few.

And the few institutional reforms that are in vogue are horrendous. Take the demand to make the CBI autonomous of the government, implicit in the criticism of the agency sharing its draft status report on coal allocation with officials in the Prime Minister’s Office, the coal ministry and the law minister. Can the CBI get clarity on intricate policy details without interacting with the concerned officials? And what is wrong if its report is vetted for accuracy by the same officials who have been helping the CBI formulate its report, before submission to the court? Will not any attempt to manipulate the findings be exposed before the courts? The only guarantee against police/investigative agencies going rogue is multiple lines of accountability to different institutions, the government, the courts, a committee of Parliament and the human rights watchdog.

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Freeing the parrot – Govt cannot brazen out Supreme Court’s observations

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The Supreme Court’s observations on the Central Bureau of Investigation’s affidavit regarding alterations made to the status report on its investigation into coal-block allocations were not as specific and stringent as they could have been. The Court chose not to view it directly as contempt the way it had seen it in a 1997 case on hawala transactions, where the apex court had demanded that the CBI not share information with those who could be an accused in the case. But the broad tenor of the Court’s observations yesterday was to highlight how the “heart of the CBI report was changed on the suggestions of government officials”. There were thus sharp questions on why the CBI should be sharing its findings with those it might be investigating. The court did not entirely spare the law minister Ashwani Kumar either, questioning if the law minister asking to see the report was legally permissible. It appears the Court holds the CBI primarily responsible for allowing its independence to be called into question, and repeating what the government wishes it to say – memorably comparing the agency to a “caged parrot”. However, the tongue-lashing that the SC gave the CBI and the government’s law officers – who have been caught in flagrantly misleading the Court – should warn the government that this is not a crisis it can afford to ignore. The resignations of Mr Kumar and of the Attorney General are to be expected. The government cannot brazen it out for much longer.

The Court also addressed itself to the central question of the CBI’s investigation, making explicit a threat that it had earlier made implicitly – that if the government does not legislate proper independence for the CBI, the SC will step in and do something. This is a warning that the government cannot afford to overlook. There would be legitimate concerns about an unaccountable super-cop, but the situation is such that the government must work post-haste on legislative safeguards for the CBI against political interference. Naturally, controls for the CBI will have to be worked in to any solution, but it is clear that the current system is not working and that the SC’s patience, like that of the public, is at an end. The SC on this occasion chose to drag former CBI DIG Ravi Kant Mishra back from the Intelligence Bureau to head the investigation into coal-block allocations.

Politically, the Court’s strictures could not have been worse; the SC has found impropriety in the actions of both the law minister and of the bureaucrats of the coal ministry and the prime minister’s office. Before the SC spoke, the prime minister said in Parliament that he was “seized of the issue” and that “action would be taken”. That action should include a clear accounting of guilt, as well as the dismissal of the law minister and the Attorney General. And, finally, a draft for statutory independence of the CBI must be prepared.

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Vested interest has a say in India’s policy making: Shell

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India is a growing economy, but vested interests have a play in India’s policy making, says the Netherlands-based energy giant Royal Dutch Shell Plc Jeremy B Bentham, vice-president, global business environment, Shell, said such interests were “a force in one direction”.

Citing Paul Krugman’s three ‘I’s—ignorance, interests and ideology — that do not let things happen when they should rationally be happening, Bentham said he had added two more to these —institutional inadequacy and inertia. According to him, all five factors were present in India.z

Bentham’s comments come at a time when India’s  energy sector is mired in controversies around pricing and contractual and allocation issues.

“As a business, we cannot do with an energy ministry. We have issues fragmented across different departments, each of which has its different agenda, which is not very well joined up here,” he told Business Standard in an interview.

The presence of such elements brings up the question whether “transitional changes are trapped and is there a room to maneuver”. Bentham later presented to an industry audience the ‘New Shell Scenarios’, which looks at the trends in the economy, politics and energy as far ahead as 2100.

The first scenario, labelled “mountains”, sees a strong role for the government and introduction of firm and far-reaching policy measures. These help develop more compact cities and transform the global transport network. New policies unlock plentiful natural gas resources, making it the largest global energy source by the 2030s, and accelerate carbon capture and storage technology supporting a cleaner energy system.

The other scenario is of “oceans”, a more prosperous and volatile world. Energy demand surges due to strong economic growth. Power is more widely distributed and governments take longer to agree to major decisions. Market forces, rather than policies, shaped the energy system: oil and coal remain part of the energy mix but renewable energy also grows. By the 2070s, solar becomes the world’s largest energy source.

Bentham said India was developing more “oceancentric” and was growing economically. He said India needed to look more into developing of infrastructure to deal with the supply and demand issues in the energy sector.

“On supply, India is already a significant component in the global energy consumption and is going to be 10-15 per cent of global energy in the decades ahead. For that, you need to have infrastructure.”

That not only enables “supply investments”, but also ports and the railways participating in global economy. On the demand side also infrastructure questions are there. Important here is to develop cities in a planned way.

He indicated the country should look more into how it could participate in the energy scenario of South Asia and Asia Pacific. “It has to look into how to take advantage of the developments in global shale gas? Not only necessarily in encouraging production here, but also opening up opportunities globally,” he added.

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Policy paralysis causing long-term damage to PSUs

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Imagine a train without an engine. That’s the state of some of the key state-run financial institutions, viz., LIC of India, UTI, SAT, GIC, IRDA, New India Assurance, etc. that are without full-time chief executives, including two where millions of Indians invest their hard-earned money. The state of the government, blamed for policy paralysis, is affecting these vital institutions built over decades, which serve public interest.

Institutions such as Life Insurance Corporation and UTI are trusted household names, and dithering over key appointments in such organisations could send wrong signals apart from affecting their operations. Appointments in the government are an elaborate process, but it is supposed to start on time and ensure that decision-making does not suffer. The absence of chief executives, in some cases fulltime ones, is hurting. This, at a time when the economy is becoming strained, forcing companies to come up with their own solutions. Most of the institutions are stable at this point of time. But leaving these institutions headless may result in certain important decisions getting postponed, which can cause damage in the long term. Indecision can lead to these companies ceding ground to nimble private sector rivals, who are out to capitalise on such opportunities. These are not institutions where investors are looking for quarterly earnings that could keep the management on its toes, but closed ones whose financials are not even known or scrutinised. The absence of key personnel at the regulator may not look as problematic as it is with corporations, but they are vital for markets just as much.

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Health chief warns: Age of safe medicine is ending, says WHO chief

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The world is entering an era where injuries as common as a child’s scratched knee could kill, where patients entering hospital gamble with their lives and where routine operations such as a hip replacement become too dangerous to carry out, the head of the World Health Organisation (WHO) has warned.

There is a global crisis in antibiotics caused by rapidly evolving resistance among microbes responsible for common infections that threaten to turn them into untreatable diseases, said Margaret Chan, director general of WHO.

She said: “Antimicrobial resistance is on the rise in Europe and elsewhere in the world.

We are losing our first-line antimicrobials. “Replacement treatments are more costly, more toxic, need much longer durations of treatment, and may require treatment in intensive care units.

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Mild exercise can cut heart attack risk

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The interheart study shows the link between a sedentary lifestyle and heart problems.

The interheart study in fact focusses a lot on physical activity at leisure that can help control heart problems. “The study shows that people doing any activity can reduce their heart attack risk (compared to those who don’t do any activity at all) by almost 50%,’’ said Dr. Aashish Contractor, who is attached to the Asian Heart Institute in BKC.

“The study says that people who do 30 minutes of activity per week in their leisure time could reduce their heart attack risk by 21%. Those who do 210 minutes of activity per week can reduce the risk by over 44%,’’ he said. Those who pursued activity for 60-180 minutes per week could reduce their risk by 40%. “The Interheart study shows that one need not do fabulously hard work to stay fit. Even small steps — just 30 minutes per week — will help keep your heart healthy.’’ (Source: The Times of India, dated 12-1-2012)

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35% MLAs ‘criminals’, 66% crorepatis — Criminalisation of politics

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More than one third of the politicians elected in the just-concluded assembly polls have criminal cases against them, with Uttar Pradesh MLAs topping the list.

About 35% or 252 of the 690 MLAs elected to the assemblies in UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa have a criminal background, while 66% or 457 of the MLAs are ‘crorepatis’.

The analysis by Association for Democratic Reforms and National Election Watch, based on the affidavits submitted to the Election Commission, also shows that compared to the 2007 assembly polls, there is an over-32% increase in the number of crorepati MLAs and about 8% rise in the number of legislators with a criminal past.

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Risk of ‘cultural revolution’ if no reforms: Wen

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Chinese premier Wen Jiabao warned his Communist colleagues recently that the dark days of the Cultural Revolution (1966-76) would return if political restructuring wasn’t carried out in real earnest.

Wen said much of the economic advancement achieved by China would come undone if political restructuring did not take place. His warning is bound to cause a stir in the Chinese industry, because the Cultural Revolution had tried to purge the country of all capitalist elements.

It was apparent that Wen was using his last press conference before completing the 10-year term till early 2013 to convey some important message to hardcore sections within the party opposed to political reforms.

 “As the economy continues to develop, new problems like income disparities, lack of credibility and corruption have occurred. We must press ahead with economic and political structural reforms, particularly reform in the leadership system of our party and country,” he said. These won’t succeed without the ‘consciousness, support, enthusiasm and creativity’ of the Chinese people, Wen said. (Source: The Times of India, dated 15-3-2012)

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Fast foods — A dangerous addiction

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The Sunita Narain-headed Centre for Science and Environment (CSE), a non-profit organisation, has analysed fast food, checking for fats, carbs, salt and trans-fat. The results are as follows:

Fried potato chips

It has around 33% fats. A standard-sized packet of chips (65-75gm) meets half of your daily fats quota. Unlike in a balanced diet, where 30% calories should come from fats, 50-60% of calories come from fats in chips.

Indian snacks

If you are fond of bhujia with tea, you get high doses of salt and trans-fats, along with a high amount of calories.

Instant noodles

This tasty meal comes with high salt, empty calories. A packet of noodles has around 3 gm of salt; recommended intake is 6 gm per day.

French fries

Fries are laden with fats: 20% of its weight is fats, 1.6% of its weight is trans-fats. By eating a large serving (220 gm), one exceeds the safe limit for trans-fats. Burgers 35% of calories in a veg burger come from fats. In non-veg burgers, 47% calories are from fats.

Carbonated drinks

The 300 ml serving that one drinks with fast food has enough sugar (over 40 gm) to exceed one’s daily sugar quota of 20 gm. After this, forget the cup of tea, one should not even eat fruits.

Fried chicken

A two-piece fried chicken has nearly 60 gm of fats, which is recommended for the whole day. Pizza By far, basic pizzas were found to be healthy compared to other fast foods. They have low levels of salt and fats; levels of trans-fats were also low.

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Fortune names N. R. Narayana Murthy among greatest entrepreneurs

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Infosys co-founder N. R. Narayana Murthy is among the 12 greatest entrepreneurs today, according to a Fortune magazine list. Apple’s late chief Steve Jobs leads the bunch. The list includes Microsoft founder Bill Gates and Facebook chief executive officer Mark Zuckerberg for turning ‘concepts into companies’ and changing the ‘face of business’.

The US publication said as the visionary founder of Infosys, Murthy has built one of the largest companies in India, helping to transform the economy and put it on the world stage. Murthy, 65, proved “India could compete with the world by taking on the software development work that had long been the province of the West; Murthy helped spark the outsourcing revolution that has brought billions of dollars in wealth into the Indian economy and transformed his country into the world’s back-office,” the magazine said.

Fortune cited his lesson that an organisation starting from scratch must coalesce into a team of people with an enduring value system. “It is all about sacrifice today, fulfilment tomorrow,” it quotes Murthy, who is ranked 10th, as saying. “It is all about hard work, lots of frustration, being away from your family, in the hope that some day you will get adequate returns from it.”

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Encyclopaedia Britannica goes out of print, enters digital world

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The oldest English-language encyclopaedia in print is moving solely into the digital age.

The Encyclopaedia Britannica, which has been in continuous print since it was first published in Edinburgh, Scotland in 1768, said on Tuesday it will end publication of its printed editions and continue with digital versions available online. The flagship, 32-volume printed edition, available every two years, was sold for INR85,947. An online subscription costs around INR4,297 per year and the company recently launched a set of apps ranging between INR122 and INR306 per month. The company said it will keep selling print editions until the current stock of around 4,000 sets ran out. It first flirted with digital publishing in the 1970s, published a version for computers in 1981 for LexisNexis subscribers and first posted to the Internet in 1994.

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‘Thank You’ to Income-Tax Department for ruining Indian Economy

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Jaithirth Rao, renowned entrepreneur, expresses deep anguish at the arbitrary manner in which the Income-tax Department is harassing Global BPO companies and raising bogus tax demands, forcing them to relocate their operations to foreign countries like the Philippines and China. This shortsighted approach of the Income-tax Department will ruin the Indian economy, he warns.

Jaithirth Rao, entrepreneurial whiz-kid, has launched a blazing attack on the Income-tax Department for its arbitrary policies which is forcing large bluechip MNCs to shift their BPOs from India to more reasonable countries.

In a thought-provoking article in the Indian Express, Jaithirth Rao spoofs a letter from the Finance Minister of Philippines to the Finance Minister of India ‘thanking’ the latter for the ‘vicious harassment’ that the Income-tax Department has heaped on the Indian IT and BPO industries which has caused a shift of BPO businesses from India to the Philippines.

The Income-tax Department is raising tax demands on captive units of global companies using their global profits as the basis and points out that this one decision alone would cause several of these companies not only to stop growing their Indian subsidiaries, but actually start winding them down.

Jaithirth Rao points out that the Income-tax Department has launched a ‘concerted strategy‘ over the past several years by making frequent and arbitrary changes in rules and says that this has resulted in ‘vicious harassment’ of Indian IT and BPO industries. In sarcastic & death-gallows humour, Jaithirth Rao says that Philippines counts the Indian income-tax authorities amongst its ‘best friends’ and requests that the names of the ‘worthy individuals’ who are behind this ‘wonderful strategy of weakening this labour-intensive Indian industry’ be given so that they can be awarded special ‘Magsaysay Awards’ and be honoured as ‘Friends of the Philippines’.

On a serious note, Jaithirth Rao points out that the Indian income-tax authorities are particularly targeting captive BPO companies, which were till recently being regarded as the ‘poster-boys of Indian I. T. Industry’, by asking them to re-compute their taxable profits based on arbitrary and changing transfer pricing guidelines without adequate safe harbour provisions, which are commonplace in most countries.

While in forums like the WTO, India has been vehemently arguing in favour of free movement of labour and opposing the stand of US political groups that it is not ‘body-shopping’, the Incometax Department has taken the reverse position that revenues from such activities do not constitute ‘service exports’ and that it really is ‘bodyshopping’.

He says that this ‘capricious behaviour’ has resulted in many captive units stopping the growth of their Indian BPO outfits and accelerating the growth of their units in foreign countries.

 He also laments that the Income-tax Department is raising tax demands on captive units of global companies using their global profits as the basis and points out that this one decision alone would cause several of these companies not only to stop growing their Indian subsidiaries, but actually start winding them down.

Jaithirth Rao says these ‘business-unfriendly’ ideas of the Income-tax Department will shrink the Indian BPO industry and while these ‘rapacious tax demands’ will in due course be struck down by the courts, in the meantime, the companies will have to pay up, be out of cash and will be spending their time and money on expensive tax lawyers instead of focussing on their operating businesses. In this unfortunate state of affairs, all BPOs close shop in India and move to the Philippines and China, he says. The Income-tax Department is “determined to wreck one of the few industries where India has achieved world class and where Indian companies are considered formidable operators” and their action of reopening past assessments and raising huge untenable demands by terming ‘service export revenues’ as ‘body shopping revenues’ (despite earlier explicit and emphatic assurances that on-site project implementation revenues would be treated as export income) is forcing large and successful world-class companies to flee India. He says that this flight of capital is making China and Philippines ‘salivate’ at the prospect of global corporations setting up operations in those countries in preference to India.

As opposed to the unreasonable stand adopted by the Income-tax Department, the Revenue in Philippines and China have decided to do exactly the opposite and are reasonable in their tax demands, simple and transparent in their transfer pricing rules and generous in their tax holidays, he says.

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HC notice to CBDT for linking promotions with tax collection

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The Gujarat High Court has issued notices to the chairman of the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) and Chief Commissioner of Income-tax Department in the state on a petition challenging CBDT’s decision to link promotions and postings of officers with tax collection made by them.

The notices were issued by a division bench of acting Chief Justice Bhaskar Bhattacharya and Justice J. B. Pardiwala while hearing a public interest litigation filed by Prakash Kapadia, chairman of an NGO, Jagega Gujarat Sangharsh Samiti.

The Court has sought an explanation about the circular that stated that promotions of the Incometax officers would depend on achievement of targets (of tax collection).

According to the petitioner, the practice of the Income-tax Department to set annual targets for tax collections and to give incentives to its staff for meeting those targets was hurting the taxpayers. The petitioner has challenged the instruction issued by CBDT chairman on February 7 to all chief commissioners and directors general of I-T to generate more collections.

 The petitioner’s counsel, Rashmin Jani, cited three cases of assessees who have suffered at the hands of tax officers due to this policy. He argued that after issuance of such instructions, the officials have started sending demand notices and passed mala fide orders in order to achieve targets.

The petitioner has also contended that the promise of promotion and posting in plum positions may result in serious prejudice to assessees. He also cited an order by the Bombay High Court quashing similar instructions issued by the CBDT chairman earlier.

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After the stimulus phase-out – Govt errs in focusing only on financing current account deficit.

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The US Federal Reserve has dropped clear hints that its long phase of quantitative easing, in which it bought bonds in an “open-ended” manner, will come to an end. It will not cease abruptly – which is why it is now being called a “tapering”. However, even the prospect that the end of the Fed’s massive stimulus, which flushed global markets with liquidity, is on the horizon has been enough to cause jitters among investors. The question that many should now ask is: what will be the medium-term fallout of the shift in the Fed’s stance? In particular, how will it affect emerging markets – especially India? So far, under the influence of easy money, the stock market index in India has run up 4,000 points to around 19,000; bond markets, too, were long buoyed by one-way inputs. The Sensex has taken a few losses. But it’s the debt market that has seen the real action, with well over $3 billion of foreign money flowing out of Indian government bonds in the last two weeks. The rupee, in its recent rapid depreciation to close to 59 against the dollar, has suffered a fate similar to the currencies of other growthchallenged emerging market countries – both Brazil and South Africa have seen their currencies hit a four-year low against the dollar. India, however, has a particularly large current account deficit, around five per cent of GDP, making it particularly dependent on foreign investors being willing to take on emerging market risk so that their inflows finance India’s imports.

Finance Minister P Chidambaram spoke obliquely about this situation when he called for a “longterm view” on the part of investors, and promised more reform that would address the problem. There weren’t too many details on offer, but even the broad hints that Mr Chidambaram dropped suggest the government is looking at the problem primarily from a limited perspective of financing the current account gap, without addressing the fundamental cause of the deficit. He referenced, in particular, the reviewing of caps on foreign direct investment (FDI) in various sectors. Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Board of India raised investment limits for long-term foreign investors in government debt by another $5 billion to $30 billion. These two measures are, broadly, more of the same approach that the government has tried so far. They are not in and of themselves a problem, and should even be welcomed. But measures to promote FDI and FII holding of debt merely paper over the current account deficit problem – they do not solve it. As long as there is an imbalance on India’s books with the rest of the world, these steps will never be enough.

The focus on financing the current account deficit is, thus, the wrong focus. What is needed instead is to boost exports, and to improve India’s macroeconomic fundamentals. The latter is complicated by the fact that the effects of the end of quantitative easing elsewhere may well upset India’s monetary schedule, making the Reserve Bank of India less likely to reduce interest rates. The space to do so has to be provided from somewhere, however, and thus fiscal correction must accelerate – allowing borrowing rates to come down and investment to rise. Without that, investment-led growth – as well as consumption in rate-sensitive sectors like automobiles, real estate and so on – will not recover. Meanwhile, the lopsided balance of trade shows the need for fundamental reform. A good proportion of the current account deficit, for example, is due to imports of pulses and cooking oil. Pushing foodgrain-specific food security will make this problem worse, not better. And promoting exports will need basic labour law reform. This is where the government should be looking.

(Source: The Business Standard dated 14.06.2013)
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Simple Encryption Software Can Keep Govt Snoops at Bay

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Despite vast surveillance operations, governments will not be able to detect every suspicious interaction that takes place on phone and internet network. By using encryption software that is readily available off the shelf, citizens can make it very difficult for government agencies to snoop in on their phone conversations or even messages exchanged over the internet.

So, electronic surveillance programmes, such as the US government’s PRISM — through which it clandestinely keeps a tab on people around the world by gathering data from several corporations —and India’s Central Monitoring System, can do very little if users are determined to go Concerns about governments invading into the privacy of its citizens have come to the fore after classified documents about the PRISM programme were leaked to the media by Edward Snowden, a former American intelligence officer and technical contractor.

The leaked documents revealed that several large technology companies, including Microsoft, Yahoo, Google, Facebook and Apple, participated in the programme and gave US authorities access to their data. In India, the government began rolling out its Central Monitoring System in April. The system gives the National Investigation Agency, as well as other investigating authorities, access to everything that happens over India’s telecommunications networks, including phone calls, text messages and social media conversations. But such indepth surveillance programmes could end up achieving very little of what they were set up for in the first place. They could also be misused.

Experts have pointed out that users can employ encryption software like TrueCrypt to hide data from everyone other than the intended recipient. Also, IP addresses, which give away the computer’s or mobile device’s location, can be hidden using Tor, a free software that redirects internet traffic through thousands of proxy computers before it reaches its final destination. Other options include www.encryptfiles.net, where users can encrypt files that they send over email, and free and easily accessible tools such as Steganos Lock-Note, Gpg4win and SendInc.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 13-06-2013)
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Rupee responses – Address the current account deficit with concrete steps

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Given recent tendencies, it was only a matter of time before the rupee fell below its previous low, touched a little under a year ago. When the downward trend first began in August 2011 and then intensified later that year, there was a strong opinion that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) should take on the responsibility of containing the decline. Many stakeholders, including, prominently, companies that had borrowed large sums abroad, were taking a beating because they had not hedged their foreign currency exposures. The costs of a large depreciation are unquestionably high – but, as the experience of several countries teaches, probably not as high as the costs imposed by a failed defence of the currency. This was the RBI’s position during that episode and remains its stance during the current one, as articulated by RBI Governor D Subbarao recently. And it is a legitimate one. The trigger for the recent bout of depreciation was the statement by the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, that they would have to start thinking of rolling back liquidity now that macroeconomic conditions were showing signs of improving. In a global marketplace buoyed by successive infusions of liquidity over the past four years, this statement signalled a return to normalcy in the US monetary policy stance and a consequent revaluation of the dollar. All currencies were devalued by the markets as a consequence. There is absolutely no case for any country to draw down its foreign exchange reserves to defend its currency against the dollar in these circumstances. This would simply add to the vulnerability of the currency to persistent pressure. And stakeholders seem to have accepted this: there is far less clamour to resist the depreciation.

However, even though there are global forces at work here, the contribution of domestic factors should not be underplayed. While all currencies are depreciating against the dollar, the ones that have declined the most are from countries with large current account deficits. India is, unfortunately, a leader in this category and looks like it will remain so for a while. Despite all the public handwringing about the size of the current account deficit, very little has actually been done to rein it in. While domestic fuel prices are gradually being corrected, consumers are yet to pay the full rupee price of diesel and liquefied petroleum gas for domestic use. Measures have been taken to dampen demand for gold, but these are widely perceived to be misdirected and unlikely to have any real impact. And on the mineral front, little has been done to revive the once substantial iron ore exports, while the country’s power sector will remain dependent on imported coal for some time to come. All of these will combine to keep the current account deficit at dangerous levels, with the inevitable downward pressure on the rupee. The risks of a spiral between currency depreciation, a widening current account deficit due to more expensive critical imports and declining capital inflows due to lower dollar returns are tangible. Rather than trying futilely to talk the rupee up, the government needs to take credible actions to address each of the threats of the current account deficit. Even if they take some time to have an impact, the signalling effect will be worth something.

(Source: The Business Standard dated 17-06-2013)
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Interests in conflict – Coal probe shows business in politics needs to be tackled

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The Central Bureau of Investigation on Tuesday raided, and registered a first information report against, two Congress politicians. They are Naveen Jindal, who owns Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (JSPL) and is a member of the Lok Sabha; and the Andhra film maker-turned-Rajya Sabha member Dasari Narayana Rao, once minister of state for coal. Essentially, a company in Mr Jindal’s group is alleged to have bought, through an intermediary company, shares in Mr Rao’s Saubhagya Media at prices more than three times the market rate. The difference, it is being argued, was the payment for allowing the allocation of several captive coal mines to JSPL’s operations, which vastly helped that company’s bottom line. On the one hand, this is a fairly straightforward accusation of corruption and bribery; if it is proved, there exist laws to deal with it. On the other hand, it throws up further knotty questions. After all, it is worth noting that Mr Jindal and Mr Rao were both men of business – and both were from the same party. Nor are they alone; an increasing number of members of Parliament (MPs) are businessmen who have entered politics, or senior politicians who have extensive business interests in either their own names or in those of close associates and family members. In this case, if an attempt was indeed made to pay off Mr Rao, it was thought possible to try and conceal it under the cloak of regular business transactions. Matters can get even worse when the direct pay-offs are replaced with more complex transactions – perhaps business favours of one sort or another, or crucial information. Yet India’s thinking on conflict-of-interest issues remains sadly backward.

This is not to say that India has no regulations on the books. Lok Sabha members, for example, are expected to declare their assets and liabilities – if not their actual interests. Before joining a debate, an MP is expected to declare all personal or pecuniary interests in the matter at hand. Ministers are forbidden to have any connections with businesses that are related to the work they conduct for the government. The Rajya Sabha maintains a register of members’ interests, which includes lists of consultancies and majority shareholdings, but it is far from exhaustive. It is not made public. The primary check on any overlap between business and political interests of an MP is his or her fellow parliamentarians – Lok Sabha members’ votes can be “challenged” by another member if a conflict of interest is perceived; the House ethics committee is expected to investigate any declarations of conflict.

The sad truth, however, is these genteel systems have not evolved enough to match the rapidly changing ways in which administrative processes can be subverted. Even in the United States, where a substantial ethics staff examines declared interests of Congress members and federal employees to discover conflicts and require divestiture of officials’ holdings, loopholes are regularly discovered – most recently, regarding insider trading. In India, no declarations or challenges have been issued in many years. Meanwhile, the Election Commission is supposed to take up complaints of unethical behaviour by ministers; it has long failed to do so, or even to make the Rajya Sabha’s book of interests public – which might have made Mr Jindal and Mr Rao more cautious. The mechanisms exist, but it seems they do so only on paper. If there are loopholes in the current regulatory system, they need to be plugged. Politicians and bureaucrats need to realise public opinion will not sit by while the regulatory system rusts.

(Source: The Business Standard dated 13-06-2013)
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Infosys’ N.R. Murthy’s Second coming – at risk as Infosys

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If one were to analyse the initial reactions to the news that NR Narayana Murthy was returning to Infosys, with son in tow, it has been sharply divided. The company’s stock price went up following the announcement, reflecting investor perceptions; and there are those who believe that the founder’s return will help the company find its bearings again. There are others who think it is not a great idea to bring back a 67-year-old to take executive leadership, and that tagging on his son as executive assistant doesn’t make it any better-surely there must be people in Infosys who can at least be competent executive assistants!

No one so far has looked at it from Mr Murthy’s perspective; he is probably committing himself to a busier schedule and a knottier set of problems than he might have wanted at this stage, risking a reputation built over a lifetime, and perhaps also disrupting whatever career plans his son might have had. On the other hand, you could argue that Mr Murthy had no choice-he created today’s situation by pushing into leadership positions people who should not have been there, he did so for the wrong reasons (the company’s founders were playing a silly and irresponsible game of round-robin!), and he watched while the company lost touch with the market and also lost key human resources.

So can he make it work a second time? Comparisons with Steve Jobs are not relevant, except to the extent that both are/were inspirational leaders. Apple is built around unique products, and Jobs was their creator, while Infosys is a service organisation. Comparisons with Sachin Tendulkar, of the kind that Mr Murthy unfortunately made, are even worse-the cricketer’s batting average today is way short of what it used to be. But it is a net positive that there is no one in the company with Mr Murthy’s external stature, so he could perhaps win over customers more effectively than others can. It helps that he is nothing if not a relentless salesman who knows how to pitch to the audience of the moment, internal as well as external, and that is a good starting point for a fresh innings.

The big risk is that an old warhorse tries the same old business tricks that he knows, but they don’t work in a changed environment. And the fact is that the business situation today is radically different from the world full of opportunities that presented itself to Infosys in the second half of the 1990s, with unique cost and other advantages for an Indian firm. New US visa regulations are being debated that could put a huge spanner in the works of India’s software service exporters. Competition has got way more difficult, some of India’s cost advantages have been neutralised, the old business models will not work today, and Infosys simply does not have the halo it once enjoyed-so that both employees and customers now look at the company differently. The further problem is that the old-new chairman may be unwilling to rock the managerial boat, and to get tough with people who have been with him for half a lifetime. Finally, India’s tech companies, for all their vaunted reputations, have not always been great at service delivery.

The lesson this whole episode drives home is that, even if you can build a successful company, it is an altogether different challenge to prevent it from becoming a shooting star. How do you keep a company successful through different business cycles, changing market realities and successive generations of technology? The answers have to go beyond the personalities of a company’s founders.

(Source: Weekend Ruminations by T.N. Ninan in Business Standard dated 08-06-2013).
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A country for scandal? – What do IPL and Ranbaxy tell us?

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Pillorying the government of the day for pervasive
corruption is the easy thing to do, whereas it might just be an escapist
option. It helps those of us who are neither in politics nor in the
government to pretend that we are not tainted, and therefore have the
right to point fingers at politicians, who we assume are not. The truth,
as recent events have brought home forcefully, is that corruption has
permeated fields that have nothing to do with politics and government.

The
cricket establishment is a disgrace, and now suspected of far worse
than the misdemeanors of the Indian Olympic Association, for which that
body has suffered the deserved misfortune of being thrown out of the
international Olympic movement. If it is spot fixing in cricket, it has
been widespread doping in wrestling; problems persist in half a dozen
sports bodies, whose recognition the government has withheld. You could
argue that it is politicians who mostly run the sports bodies, except
that none of the people around Mr Kalmadi were from the world of
politics. In any case, the cricket boss is a businessman.

And
what does one make of Ranbaxy – once a poster boy for the emerging
India, but which now stands exposed for falsifying its research results,
and then selling what must presumably be described as adulterated drugs
to unsuspecting consumers, at home and abroad? The US authorities have
slapped a penalty of half a billion dollars (about Rs 2,800 crore), but
where have India’s own drug authorities been all this while? What about
the criminal liability of all those who were in the company and part of
the fraud? What is the responsibility of the company’s directors of the
time, including many well-known worthies – who, according to the
whistle-blower, chose to ignore the red flag that he waved?

The
building collapse that killed 1,100 hapless garment workers in
Bangladesh has undermined that country’s $20-billion garment export
industry, and raised systemic questions about building regulation. At
home, now that Wockhardt too has run into trouble with the US
authorities, what is the message to the world about India’s drug
industry – seen not so long ago as a global winner? When fraudulent
accounting at Satyam cast an international shadow on India’s IT services
sector, the damage was contained because the other companies in the
field were squeaky clean and Satyam itself was quickly sanitised through
changes of management and ownership. Ranbaxy casts a darker shadow,
because faking drugs is a more lethal business than faking accounts –
though bogus financials too can cause suicides, as the Saradha mess in
West Bengal shows. The older of the two billionaire brothers who sold
the company five years ago (and now run hospitals) has pleaded an angry
innocence because five years have passed since he stepped out of the
company, but the faking of research results was taking place on his
watch, and liability for that is independent of whether the Japanese who
bought the company in 2008 did proper due diligence.

No
system-wide questions are answered by doing nothing. If the canker is
widespread, there have to be systemic solutions. An obvious step is to
come down hard on anyone who is caught, as a lesson to everyone else.
System legitimacy suffers only when businessmen find ways of avoiding
being brought to justice. But perhaps the worst outcome would be to
treat this as just one more kind of reality TV, for nightly
entertainment. All troubling questions can be evaded if we just watch
Arnab Goswami shout at, hector and pillory his “guests” for an hour
every night, for thereby we’ve earned our absolution!

(Source: Weekend Ruminations by T.N. Ninan in Business Standard dated 25-05-2013)
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Registration Act- Proposal to modify law on land registration tabled in Parliament

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A proposal to modify India’s land registration law
to make for clear titles and help the government to fairly compensate
owners if their land was acquired for industrialization was tabled in
the Rajya Sabha.

The amendments to the Registration Act, 1908,
mainly relate to ensuring transparency and digitization that will help
establish clear land ownership. The Registration (Amendment) Bill, 2013,
was cleared by the cabinet in June.

Land acquisition is a
complex and contentious subject in India due to the lack of
documentation and the absence of contemporary land records. This has
been causing problems for investors trying to buy land for
infrastructure projects.

The proposed amendments include
registration of documents relating to the adoption of a daughter to
ensure gender equity, opening of the miscellaneous register that
contains details of all registered documents to public scrutiny, and
promotion of electronic registration of documents.

“Documents
such as power of attorney, developers/ promoters agreements and any
other agreements relating to the sale or development of immovable
property now need to be mandatorily registered. This is being done with
the intention of minimize cases of document forgery,” the ministry said.

“A new section 18A is proposed to be inserted (into the Act) to
provide for prohibition of registration of certain types of
properties,” it said. This is to prevent unauthorized people from
obtaining false registrations.

In addition, the government has
proposed the deletion of section 28 of the 1908 law, which allows a
person with immovable property in more than one state to register
documents relating to transfer in any of these states.

Many of
the changes proposed will also help in the award of compensation to land
owners under the proposed Right to Fair Compensation and Transparency
in Land Acquisition, Resettlement and Rehabilitation Bill, 2012, which
is pending before Parliament.

(Source: Mint Newspaper dated 09-08-2013)
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Young India & polls 2014

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What do Indians want and what are their concerns?

In the rare cases where such questions are asked, there are no surprises: price rise, corruption, job creation, law and order, education and health, the precise ranking varying from survey to survey.

More than 50% of India’s population is under-25 and there will be a clutch of new voters in 2014. Priorities of under-25s aren’t necessarily the same as priorities of those over 65. With gerontocracy characterising political leadership, there is a disconnect between what Young India wants and what Old India thinks Young India wants.

Old India lives in yesterday and, unfortunately, uses its prism to deliver policies for tomorrow, when Old India will no longer be around. Young India will live in tomorrow and will be hamstrung by policies Old India fashions today.

One doesn’t know whether the structural shift will lead to a shift in electoral dynamics in 2014. What one does know is that few political parties and leaders have understood that a shift is taking place. This is reflected in discourse and debates and will be reflected in manifestos and vision documents. The Bible states, “Your young men will see visions, your old men will dream dreams.”

While the old men will dream of coming back to power, it should be a function of a vision that is sold to Young India of betterment of lives and economic empowerment, not doles and handouts. It should be a vision of where we want India to be in 2025, or beyond. That differentiates 20/20 vision from myopia.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 05-08-2013)
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Govt files review petition against SC verdicts on lawmakers

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The Union government decided to take up cudgels on behalf of the political class, or at least those members of it who could find themselves on the wrong side of the law, and also opposed any move to place restrictions on the freebies they can promise voters in their manifestos.

Both moves were criticized by political reform activists who see them as part of efforts by the political establishment to protect its own interests.

The government filed a review petition in the Supreme Court (SC) against verdicts of the apex court that disqualified lawmakers who were convicted by a court and barred those in prison or those who had been convicted from contesting elections.

The decision, the petition said, would jeopardize a government that has a thin majority, they said, citing the contents of the petition. Supreme Court advocate Gopal Sankaranarayanan was critical of the government’s petition. “It boggles my mind as to how governance is anyway prejudiced if a criminal politician is allowed to continue in the House, with his disqualification stayed,” he said. “A wafer-thin majority government ought not to be protected merely because its majority is maintained on the shoulders of criminals.”

Section 8(4) of the Representation of People Act gave a window of opportunity to convicted lawmakers to appeal within three months, during which period, disqualification would not take effect. Disqualification would be on hold until the appeal was disposed of by the court. The apex court struck down this provision.

There has been strong opposition to the verdict by all political parties on the grounds that the “supremacy of the Parliament” should be maintained.

The petition asserted Parliament’s right to legislate on the disqualification of members, as the Constitution hasn’t specified the grounds. It also raised the issue of the irreversible impact of the disqualification to the extent that the reversal of a conviction wouldn’t lead to restoration of membership.

The government is also seeking a reference to a “larger constitution bench as it relates to interpretation of articles in the constitution” and that failure to do so would constitute an error.

Sankaranarayanan said the section is discriminatory.

“The simple fact is section 8 (4) discriminates between a sitting legislator and the rest of the populace, simply because one of them occupies a place of high position of power and the others don’t,” he said.

At the Election Commission-convened meeting, the political parties also opposed guidelines for manifestoes, criticizing a 5 July order of the apex court that asked the commission to come up with guidelines on freebies offered by parties in their manifestos.

All major national political parties said that there should be no such restriction.

(Source: Mint Newspaper dated 13-08-2013)
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India’s darkest hour – Companies, bankers and experts have all given up hope of an economic recovery

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I recently spent a week in India meeting a wide range of economic participants – companies (both large and small), banks, industry experts and economic commentators. What is clear is that the economy is entering another down leg. The bountiful monsoon may save us to an extent, but things are getting worse in terms of industrial production and private sector capital expenditure.

Of the factors that were expected to lead to an acceleration in the rate of economic growth – falling interest rates, unclogging of the investment cycle and some pickup in exports – none seem to be playing out. In meeting after meeting, I felt that people had finally given up. All the enthusiasm generated by Finance Minister P Chidambaram in his first six months in office has dissipated. It is extraordinarily difficult to implement most of the policy.

Industrialists have absolutely no interest in making any fresh investments, and have very little confidence that projects that are currently stuck will start moving. Capital goods providers also seem to see little sign of the public sector investment stepup that the finance minister talks about. Domestic order books remain subdued. Even consumption seems vulnerable; most of the participants agreed that consumption beyond a point couldn’t keep growing independent of the broader economy.

Everyone is convinced that this growth slowdown is largely self-inflicted. We have lost the plot and cannot blame our travails on external factors. The business class has given up the hope that the country would ever get back to the high growth rates achieved in 2003-07. Most have made business plans assuming that growth will be at best six per cent over the coming few years. Cost cutting and asset rationalisation, not growth, are at the top of their agenda. The complaint that India was uncompetitive in terms of infrastructure, land, labour (adjusted for productivity) and capital remains. If this is true, how will any new manufacturing investment happen?

Most small and medium-sized entrepreneurs seem to be fed up with the daily harassment of doing business in India. Basically, when India was booming, the sheer adrenaline of growing at nine per cent was exciting enough for investors to put up with the hassles of doing business. Now at five per cent growth – and dropping – the upside of doing business here does not seem to justify the hassles. Every industrialist I met had bought property overseas in the last 18 months and was in the process of creating a parallel establishment as a hedge.

In short, the mood was deeply pessimistic. Many now fear for the country’s future. It is always darkest before the dawn, and this deep pessimism may be a contrarian indicator, but even rational and sensible people now seem to have given up. While it is truly difficult to be positive at present, one should not forget that we are a democracy with checks and balances. We have a very young and hugely aspirational population. The political system will eventually have to adapt to the needs and wishes of this huge demographic. We will have to make the systemic changes to bring growth back. It is wrong to think that we have permanently lost our way. The risk is that we could have some more pain ahead, maybe even a crisis before the required changes happen.

(Source: Extracts from an Article by Mr. Akash Prakash in Business Standard dated 30-07-2013)
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Civil Service – Why Durga’s Shakti matters for India

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This is not about Durga Shakti anymore. It is about the many Durga Shaktis in the IAS and the paramount need to protect them. And this is about why Durga’s Shakti matters to not just the IAS, but also to India’s health as a democracy. It is about creating strong, upright civil servants and not civil “servants” and the need for the political executive to understand that honest, upright officers are not their personal vassals. It is about protecting and preserving the constitutional democracy of India whose lynchpin is the permanent executive working in tandem with the political executive, and where the former is not expected to be subservient to the latter, much less carry out its illegal orders.

The political executive needs to understand that every single enforcement action by any IAS officer will necessarily have a repercussion, both good and perhaps some bad, and indeed it must have a repercussion for it get to its desired objective and be effective. That must not become a convenient scapegoat for the political executive to suspend or even transfer inconvenient officers. Being a rubber stamp destroys institutions and, with them, individuals forever. The political executive must learn to have good officers around them, who may not and should not, always agree with them, which alone makes for impartial, honest advice. They need to learn to get along with those officers who know when to say “No Minister” as much as when to say “Yes Minister”.

In Durga’s specific case there is a clear violation of procedure by the government of UP. This makes for a manifestly colourable exercise of power. The UP government stands in violation of several provisions and the officers who signed the orders, without applying their mind and judgement, should have exemplary damages imposed on them by the courts.

Constitutional protection of the IAS under Article 311 is integral to our democracy and without it, India can might as well disband the IAS and bring in a USstyle spoils system instead.

What are young, conscientious IAS officers supposed to do when they witness violations of law in their jurisdiction? Wring their hands helplessly or take action? Who is causing communal tension- a senior minister sanctioning the loot of natural resources by invoking the name of God in full public view, or an officer who has stopped the encroachment of public land and upheld the spirit of the January 19, 2013 judgment of the Supreme Court?

IAS bashing is no longer the favourite avocation for India’s politicians; it is now their favourite vocation. Many in the IAS break the law, loot the exchequer, collude with a rapacious political executive and the common weal is often dammed in the process. Yet every single day, all across the country, away from the glare of the media, there are many more doing enormous good work and holding the country together in circumstances in which no corporate sector professional, or even members from the hallowed armed forces, would like to work in. They need to be treated with respect and fairness, especially by those who disagree with some decision of theirs, just as they are expected to treat others likewise.

(Source: Extracts from Article by Mr. Srivatsa Krishna in the Times of India dated 04-08-2013)
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India’s Ecosystem is Pro-Big, Anti-Small

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Indices representing small and mid-cap stocks have plunged. Both small and mid-caps, on the other hand, are down about 25% each. The vertiginous drop in these indices represents the real story of Indian businesses. Sensex companies, with their deep pockets and even deeper connections to India’s political, administrative and financial elites, will weather most crises unscathed. But smaller companies, without any patrons, will come out bruised.

Decades of crony capitalism have created a deep division among India’s businesses: among those with access to the powers-that-be and those without. The former run giant businesses, relatively insulated from domestic or global turbulence. Smaller businesses, which include start-up and first-time ventures, are nimbler, more entrepreneurial and often more creative in the ways they go about things. That should have given them some advantages in a properly-functioning market. But in India, success hinges on massaging the system and clearing massive regulatory hurdles. One manufacturing project can require around 30 clearances from all levels of government. In this sort of market, smaller enterprises are punished. This is in stark contrast with the West: in Germany, the mid-cap index is up 33%, in London by 35% and in New York, small caps are up 31%.

This anti-democratic cronyism is likely to drive many small and mid-size businesses out of India. Already, sugar and farm companies in Maharashtra are planning to move parts of their businesses to Africa, where land is plentiful, local markets have demand, exports to Europe are duty-free and cronyism of the desi variety is absent. Unless India clears up the policy clutter, our nimbler companies will continue to vote with their feet.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 14-08-2013)
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A third of India’s top firms face severe debt crisis

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Economic slowdown and the accompanying demand destruction have taken a heavy toll on India’s top companies. The worst-hit are those that had launched aggressive growth plans, largely funded through debt, believing the demand growth in the years to come would be robust.

Many of these firms now find themselves in a spiral of declining profitability, shrinking market capitalisation and rising liabilities. This raises a question mark over their financial viability. On this parameter, nearly a third of India’s top companies are either financially insolvent or on the verge of it. They can’t use equity markets to raise enough capital to fund these projects or lighten their debt burden. Of the 406 firms in the BSE-500 list (excluding banking and financial ones) that have declared their results so far, the market capitalisation of 143 is either below their debt or just a notch above. The sample includes companies with average market capitalisation (during July this year) of less than 1.5 times their net debt as at the end of 2012-13.

According to figures from Capitaline, at the end of March this year, these companies were sitting on a debt of Rs 13.2 lakh crore — nearly twice their average market capitalisation in July. Two years ago, however, it was the other way around. In July 2011, their market value was 40 per cent higher than their net debt. Over the past two years, their debt (adjusted for cash and other liquid investments on their books) has risen 61 per cent, while their market capitalisation has declined 40 per cent. This has shut for these companies the equity window for project funding or debt repayment.

The list includes companies like Tata Steel, Hindalco Industries, Tata Power, L&T, Jaypee Associates, Adani Power, GMR Infra, GVK Power, JSW Steel, Reliance Infra, IndianOil, HPCL, Shri Renuka Sugars, Bajaj Hindusthan and Suzlon. Their marketcap- to-debt-coverage ratio will look even worse if deferred tax liability and contingent liabilities are included. Most of these firms also have high debt-to-equity ratio (greater than 1.0), poor interest coverage ratio (less than 2.0) and falling profitability.

(Source: The Business Standard dated 12-08-2013)
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USA — Disciplinary proceedings against Auditors to be made public.

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A bipartisan pair of influential senators introduced legislation that would make disciplinary hearings against auditing firms public.

The bill would change a provision of the Sarbanes- Oxley Act that requires the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board to keep disciplinary proceedings against auditing firms confidential. The proposed legislation, sponsored by Senators Jack Reed and Chuck Grassley is called the PCAOB Enforcement Transparency Act of 2011.

The current chairman of the PCAOB, also has called for making the disciplinary proceedings public, arguing that “secrecy has a variety of unfortunate consequences” and this “state of affairs is not good for investors, for the auditing profession, or for the public at large.”

The PCAOB is responsible for ensuring that auditors of public companies meet the highest standards of quality, independence, and ethics,” Reed said in a statement. “Reliable financial reporting is vital to the health of our economy and we must take the legislative steps necessary to enhance transparency in the PCAOB’s enforcement process. Currently, Congress, investors, and others are being denied critical information about an auditor’s disciplinary process. Investors and companies alike should be aware when the auditors and accountants they rely on have been charged or sanctioned for violating professional auditing standards.”

Lack of transparency surrounding disciplinary proceedings under current law can provide unscrupulous firms with an incentive to litigate cases in order to continue to shield conduct from the public.

One accounting firm that was the subject of a disciplinary proceeding issued no fewer than 29 additional audit reports on public companies during the course of the proceedings, they noted. Because of the confidential nature of the proceedings, those public companies and their investors were completely unaware there was a potential auditing problem with this accounting firm. Before the firm was expelled from public company auditing, it issued those audit reports, knowing all the while that it was subject to disciplinary proceedings, but investors were denied this information.

“Sunshine is the best disinfectant,” Grassley said. “This legislation levels the playing field between auditors reviewed by the SEC and auditors reviewed by the PCAOB. Currently, PCAOB proceedings are secret while SEC proceedings are not. The secrecy provides incentives to bad actors to extend the proceedings as long as possible, so they can continue to do business without notice to businesses about potential problems with a particular auditor. This bill ends the secrecy and brings the kind of transparency that adds accountability to agency proceedings.”

They argued that the PCAOB’s closed proceedings run counter to the public enforcement proceedings of other regulators. Not only the SEC, but also the Labour Department, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and other government agencies use public proceedings, as does the self-regulating Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Nearly all administrative proceedings brought by the SEC against public companies, brokers, dealers, investment advisers and others are open, public proceedings.

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Supreme Court : Lending firms must follow norms before ‘re-possession’.

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The Supreme Court last week cautioned hire purchase firms not to take goods forcibly but follow the norms set by the Reserve Bank of India. In the judgment, Citicorp Maruti Finance Ltd. v. S. Vijayalaxmi, it emphasised that “in case of mortgaged goods subject to hire purchase agreements, the recovery process has to be in accordance with law.” The Court noted that the recovery process referred to in the agreements also contemplated such recovery to be effected in due process of law and not by use of force. “Till such time as the ownership is not transferred to the purchaser, the hirer normally continues to be the owner of the goods, but that does not entitle him on the strength of the agreement to take back possession of the vehicle by use of force. The guidelines which had been laid down by the Reserve Bank of India support and make a virtue of such conduct. If any action is taken for recovery in violation of such guidelines or the principles as laid down by this Court, such an action cannot but be struck down.”
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It’s disruption, not dissent: Deepak Parekh

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HDFC chairman Deepak Parekh and MP Ashok Ganguly issued a statement urging corporate India to throw its weight behind the government on the retail FDI issue. “We felt very strongly about this because we had raised the issue of policy inaction and now that they are trying to do something, there is so much opposition. What is happening today is disruption, not dissent,” said Parekh. He added that industry was unanimously in support of FDI in retail and so were Indian farmers.

“Nowhere in the world is there a four-times difference between what the farmer gets and what the retailer pays,” he said. According to the two leaders, opposition to FDI is coming from vested interests to the detriment of the majority. It points out that indigenous retail outlets — the kirana stores — suffer more because of political bandhs than because of competition. “FDI in retail has not been a sudden decision taken by the government. On the contrary, the idea has been toyed with for over 14 years. Detailed discussions with various stakeholders have been held, experts consulted and studies commissioned based on international experiences of organised retailing.”

“What is intriguing and bewildering is that the false alarm of FDI is continuing to be used after so many years, as a bogey in modern times against foreigners and foreign investment,” it said. The statement comes at a time when filibustering over the bill to allow FDI in retail has derailed the Parliament functioning. “There are 32 bills in this winter session of the Parliament for consideration and passing, many of which are of far greater consequence and importance for the country than FDI in retail. The protests on FDI in retail are misconceived and unfortunate, but hope to salvage this situation should not be lost,” the statement said.

The authors have pointed out that earlier this year many concerned with the country’s economic prospects had asked the government to stem the slowdown, increase investments and bring in new reforms. “No one objected till then. But when the government began to act, what have we, but chaos and adjournments over a decision to allow foreign direct investment in retail,” the statement said.

The group of 14 which had come together on issues relating to the economy included Wipro’s Azim Premji, ICICI’s N. Vaghul, industrialists Keshub Mahindra, Jamshyd Godrej and Anu Aga, former RBI governors M. Narasimham and Bimal Jalan (now a Rajya Sabha member), Justices B. N. Srikrishna and Sam Variava, architect of key Sebi and RBI regulations Yezdi Malegam, member of the PM’s Economic Advisory Council A. Vaidyanathan, and banker-turned-social worker Nachiket Mor.

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Reebok working on $ 1 shoe

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After low-cost airlines and vehicles, it’s now time for low-cost footwear. Sportswear maker Reebok is working on a project that could lead to the introduction of a shoe that is priced at $1, or around Rs.50. Reebok International, which is in the process of rolling out the project, said it will soon test the technical feasibility of ‘producing a durable, functional and affordable shoe’ before launching it in India.

In 2008, Herbert Hainer, CEO Adidas Group, which consists of the brand Reebok, had begun discussions with Grameen Bank founder Muhammad Yunus. This was followed by the development, marketing and distribution of low-cost footwear in Bangladesh in the form of a social business, which the Adidas Group expressed interest in.

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8 Indians in world’s top thinkers list

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India’s intellectual potential just got a branding shot in the arm when eight Indians made it to Thinkers 50 — a bi-annual global ranking of 50 most influential thinkers.

At number three is Vijay Govindarajan, professor of international business at Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire in the US, while Nitin Nohria, dean of Harvard Business School came in at number 13 on the list, compiled by consultancy Crainer Dearlove promoted by Stuart Crainer and Des Dearlove.

Govindarajan, author of The Other Side of Innovation that focusses on how to turn an innovative idea into a successful commercial business, moved up from 24th position in the 2009 list and 23rd position in the 2007 list.

In 2008, on a sabbatical from his university, he joined General Electric (GE) for 24 months as its first Professor in Residence and Chief Innovation Consultant. Govindarajan also created ripples in the world of innovation when he posed a global challenge of how to build a $300 house.

“The Thinkers 50 ranking has kept pace with ideas that are shaping the daily agenda of global businesses and managers, and the ranking is a guide to which thinkers are in, and who have been consigned to business history,” According to the Thinkers 50 website, to arrive at the list of the final 50, panelists rely on criteria such as “originality of ideas, practicality of ideas, presentation style, written communication, loyalty of followers, business sense, international outlook, rigour of research, impact of ideas and the elusive guru factor.”

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New Quit India Movement? — India’s billionaires talk of getting out.

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The government may have saved its political skin by putting FDI in retail on hold, but it has added to the sense of gloom that’s engulfing India Inc. For the past several weeks, there’s been a depressing drumbeat of stories of Indian businessmen choosing the relatively low growth, high-stability option of investing abroad over the uncertainty of launching new ventures at home.

Says the India-head of a fabled global investment bank, “For me, there’s no slowdown. My plate’s full with mandates from Indian companies looking at acquisitions abroad”.

But it’s not just about the flight of investments anymore. Several Indian billionaires say they are frustrated enough to want to shift base overseas and run their increasingly transnational business empires from cities like London and Singapore. “I’m sick and tired of what’s happening here. I don’t want to live in this country anymore,” said one of India’s biggest barons.

The reasons are mainly twofold: the policy paralysis brought on by a politically weak and scam-struck government, compounded by obstructionist competitive politics; and the climate of fear that has spread because of the raids on and arrests of businessmen. They have a third, more specific grouse (not that it’s new): the time and hassle it takes to get environmental clearance and acquire land.

Bulge-bracket businessmen — from industries as diverse as telecom and textiles, aviation and steel, real estate and minerals — are talking ‘Quit India’, but obviously not in public. They may be exaggerating their angst, but for the first time since the dawn of liberalisation 20 years ago, the India story seems to be dimming compared to the welcoming lights of foreign shores. As RPG Enterprises chairman Harsh Goenka quips, “We are looking for the red carpet, not for red tape.”

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