1. AI use, rising in influence campaigns online, but impact limited: US cyber firm
Google-owned U.S. cybersecurity firm Mandiant said it had seen increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) to conduct manipulative information campaigns online in recent years, though the technology’s use in other digital intrusions had been limited so far. Researchers at the Virginia-based company found “numerous instances” since 2019 in which AI-generated content, such as fabricated profile pictures, had been used in politically-motivated online influence campaigns.
These included campaigns from groups aligned with the governments of Russia, China, Iran, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Cuba, Argentina, Mexico, Ecuador, and El Salvador, the report said. It comes amid a recent boom in generative AI models such as ChatGPT, which make it far easier to create convincing fake videos, images, text, and computer code. Security officials have warned of such models being used by cybercriminals.
Generative AI would enable groups with limited resources to produce higher quality content for influence campaigns at scale, Mandiant researchers said. A pro-China information campaign named Dragonbridge, for instance, had expanded “exponentially” across 30 social platforms and 10 different languages since it first began by targeting pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong in 2019, said Sandra Joyce, vice president at Mandiant Intelligence. Yet, the impact of such campaigns was limited. “From an effectiveness standpoint, not a lot of wins there,” she said. “They really haven’t changed the course of the threat landscape just yet.” China has denied U.S. accusations of involvement in such influence campaigns in the past.
(Source: indianexpress.com 18th August, 2023)
2. India’s digital economy creates a new vote bank all parties want to woo
If politics decides the shape of the economy, the economy too shapes the politics. For long, Indian politics has revolved around two big vote banks of caste and religion. Besides these two, pensioners, central government employees and farmers were other vote banks political parties tried to attract with financial benefits. The growth of the middle class after the economic liberalisation brought the issues of governance and service delivery to the centrestage of electoral politics. The rise of Narendra Modi had a significant push from the growing economic aspirations of Indians.
A new vote bank has emerged with the new digital economy which got a major boost during the pandemic restrictions as Amazon, Swiggy, Zomato and many other gig platforms saw sudden spike in business, which meant demand for more gig workers. Political parties have spotted this vote bank and are trying to woo it — the vote bank of gig workers. A sudden explosion of digital economy in recent times created vast opportunities for gig workers, and at the same time concerns have grown over tough working conditions and low benefits in the gig economy. The Rajasthan assembly passing a bill recently to offer social security to gig workers is the latest sign of the political heft gig workers have gained which political parties can ignore only at their own peril.
In April, hundreds of gig workers working with Zomato-owned quick commerce platform Blinkit in Delhi-NCR went on a strike, protesting against a renewed fee structure that they said would reduce their income, disrupting services at several locations. A Delhi-based Blinkit delivery partner told ET that the new structure resulted in a reduction of Rs.200-250 per day in their payout because most dark stores operate within a radius of 2 km. This was one of a series of protests by delivery workers after the pandemic. Last year in July, Swiggy faced strikes by its delivery workers across metro cities amid discussions about the industry’s poor compensations and lack of social security net.
Gig workers in India are young, financially stressed, and largely uninsured, a report found last year after surveying more than 4,000 gig workers from platforms such as Swiggy, Zomato, Uber, Ola, UrbanClap, and Amazon. The report by CIIE.CO, an incubator and accelerator at IIM-Ahmedabad, said 42.1 per cent of respondents reported not having an increase in income over time. In an inflationary environment, this means individuals are earning less each year. About 51.5 per cent of individuals reported not being able to save money.
About 47 per cent of respondents said they had no form of insurance. The most common form of insurance among individuals was two-wheeler insurance. Despite the high levels of risk to their own personal lives, only one in five gig economy workers had some kind of life or health-related insurance. There were around 7.7 million gig workers as of 2020-21, according to a report by government policy think tank Niti Aayog which said the number was expected to exceed 23.5 million by 2029-30.
Gig workers in India now have got all it takes to form a cohesive economic category of voters. They are spread across the country in large numbers as you will find delivery partners and app-based taxi drivers in all parts of India, especially cities. They have a common set of grievances. And they have been organising and protesting to press for their demands. The pandemic gave them high visibility as people were forced to buy online. Strikes and protests by gig workers have deep political impact as they disrupt delivery services in urban areas, thus attracting a lot of attention, and sympathy too. In short, they are a cohesive voting bloc which can’t be ignored.
Shaik Salauddin, the national general secretary of the Indian Federation of App-based Transport Workers representing over 45,000 cab drivers, told Reuters recently that they had been lobbying political parties for a package before the elections.
The first time significant political attention gig workers attracted was in 2020 when the Central government passed a package of labour reforms which made gig workers eligible for social security, insurance, health benefits and pension.
When Congress leader Rahul Gandhi interacted with gig workers in Bengaluru in May while campaigning for the assembly elections, and even took a two kilometer ride with a delivery partner on his scooter, it became clear that gig workers were in a position to influence elections. Bengaluru has nearly 200,000 gig workers. Last year, gig workers from Dunzo protested when the platform introduced an incentive-based model of payment for its delivery agents. The Congress party had promised benefits for gig workers in its election manifesto. Last month, the Karnataka government announced in its budget an insurance scheme with a cover of Rs. 4 lakh for gig workers across the state. The state will pay the entire premium for the scheme under which workers will get a life insurance cover of Rs. 2 lakh and an accidental cover of equal amount.
In July, the Rajasthan assembly passed a bill for the welfare of gig workers. According to the Rajasthan Platform Based Gig Workers (Registration and Welfare) bill, the state will establish a fund for “registered platform-based gig workers” and charge aggregators (the companies such as Amazon, Ola and Zomato) a “welfare fee”. The fee will be a percentage of the value of each transaction related to the gig workers as may be notified by the state. If any aggregator fails to pay the fee on time, an interest of
12 per cent per annum will be charged on the dues.
After Rajasthan, Karnataka is now planning to impose a fee on aggregators to fund welfare of gig workers. “The Social Security Code of 2020, which defines gig workers and creates a separate fund for them, the Motor Vehicle Aggregator Guidelines and now the Rajasthan government’s plan to bring a law to protect the rights of gig workers — these are all the recent successes of our persistent work in the last three years,” union leader Salauddin told TOI in January.
Last year, India’s pension fund regulator had recommended the government introduce a UK-like pension scheme for the country’s gig workers. The Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) had proposed that workers at food and cab aggregators be automatically enrolled into the National Pension Scheme (NPS), a voluntary retirement savings scheme.
Not to be left behind the Congress governments in Karnataka and Rajasthan, the Narendra Modi government at the Centre is expected to start a comprehensive social security programme for gig workers soon.
The plan, part of the Social Security Code enacted in 2020, could include accident, health insurance and retirement benefits, Reuters reported recently, citing a senior government official. Labour Minister Bhupender Yadav has said that any scheme for gig workers might be funded through contributions by federal and state governments, as well as the platforms. An industry expert with direct knowledge of the discussions told Reuters the platforms unanimously agreed with the labour ministry’s proposal about social security for gig workers and were ready to contribute to a “transparently” run welfare fund.
II. WORLD NEWS
1. US mortgage rates climb to highest level in 21 years
Mortgage rates in the US have climbed to their highest level in 21 years amid the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate increases. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average 7.09 per cent, up from 6.96 per cent last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac reported. The rate stood at 5.13 per cent this time last year.
It is the highest level since April 2002 and the first time it has surpassed 7 per cent since last November. Mortgage rates have climbed since the Fed embarked on its campaign to raise interest rates, which at 5.33 per cent now also surpass a two-decade high.
“The economy continues to do better than expected and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved up, causing mortgage rates to climb,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. The 10-year Treasury yield recently hit at 15-year high of 4.258 per cent.
With high mortgage rates making buying a home more expensive, current homeowners who already have a low mortgage rate are more reluctant to sell their homes. With low inventory and rising mortgage rates, would-be homebuyers are being priced out of the market. At $410,200, the median existing-home sales prices in June was the second highest ever recorded, according to a recent report from the National Association of Realtors.
“Demand has been impacted by affordability headwinds, but low inventory remains the root cause of stalling home sales,” sad Mr Khater. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rate average 6.46 per cent, up from last week’s 6.34 per cent.
(Source: www.thenationalnews.com dated 17th August, 2023)
2. As UK Births Hit 20-Year Low, Indian-Born Parents Take Record Share
India overtook Romania as the most common country of birth of foreign new mothers, after a third of all residence visas were granted to Indian nationals. The number of babies born in England and Wales fell to its lowest level in two decades last year, while a record proportion came from parents who were both born abroad, highlighting a long-term shift in the nation’s demographic makeup.
Of all live births, 23.1 per cent were to non-UK-born parents – a proportion that has shot up from 16.7 per cent in 2008, and is up from 21.5 per cent a year ago, according to census data released Thursday by the Office for National Statistics.
The figures also showed the share of babies born to British parents has slipped, from 62 per cent to 60.3 per cent, and the overall number of births sank to 605,479. That’s the lowest since 2002, and points toward slower population growth that could be a drag on both the economy and labor market in the decades ahead.
The “increase in the number of non-UK born mothers is a good thing” given the UK’s own falling birth rate, said Jonathan Portes, professor of economics and public policy at King’s College London. But declining numbers of overall births is the “real story here,” he said, adding that it’s a “serious long-term social problem for us.”
The rising number of births to foreign parents could help ease fears that the UK will face a labor supply crunch as its population ages and retirees out-pace the rate at which new workers come into jobs. But polling suggests migration is still an important concern for British voters.
More than half of the public favor a cut in immigration, according to a recent survey by Kantar and the Migration Observatory. That suggests rising numbers of births to migrant families could be a thorny issue for both major political parties as they face the prospect of a general election next year.
The number of children born to parents who were both from abroad hit 139,953 last year, up from 134,308 a year earlier and its highest level since 2017. Numbers have remained relatively flat for births involving one non-UK-born parent, while births to two UK-born parents have fallen to 365,111, the lowest level in comparable data going back to 2008.
A rise in the number of people immigrating to the UK in recent years is likely to have led to the jump in migrant parents in 2022. A record 606,000 more people moved to Britain than departed last year, boosted by humanitarian programs and demand for workers whose skills were in short supply.
India overtook Romania as the most common country of birth of foreign new mothers, after a third of all third of residence visas were granted to Indian nationals. Afghanistan also entered the top 10 for the first time, after the UK formally opened the Afghan Citizens Resettlement Scheme at the start of 2022.
India also replaced Pakistan as the most common country of birth for non-UK-born new fathers. Pakistan had held the top spot since comparable data began in 2008. In London, more than two thirds of births were to parents where at least one was from outside the UK. The highest percentages were seen in Brent, Westminster, Newham and Harrow, at more than 80 per cent of births.
Outside of London, the Berkshire town of Slough and the Bedfordshire town of Luton were the areas with the highest rate of births to at least one migrant parent, at 75 per cent and 74.6 per cent respectively. Further away from the capital, Oxford and Leicester saw the highest percentages at 65.9 per cent and 65 per cent respectively.
(Source : ndtv.com dated 19th August, 2023)
3. Over 15 Million People Suffer From Food Insecurity in Afghanistan
Amid the ongoing economic and humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan, 15.5 million people in the country are suffering from severe food insecurity, Tolo News reported citing a report by the International Federation of Red Cross. Expressing distress over the crisis, the report stated that the drought in the past three years in Afghanistan and the economic crisis over the past two years have increased the needs of the people of the country.
It further stated that 2.7 million people in Afghanistan are facing famine, reported TOLO News. Seyar Qureshi, an economist said, “In the short term, the Islamic Emirate should talk with the international community for humanitarian aid to Afghanistan continues and prevent a humanitarian crisis.”
Whereas, the Taliban Ministry of Economy said that international aid has not been provided to the development sector. Adding to this, they said that the ministry has launched large economic projects to battle the economic challenges in the country.
Abdul Latif Nazari, deputy of the Economy Ministry said, “The aid of the international community has been humanitarian until now, and no significant development aid has been provided. Our effort is to help reduce poverty and provide employment for the people of Afghanistan by attracting development aid and launching large national projects.”
Moreover, Kabul residents have been complaining that they are dealing with economic problems and there is a need to pay more attention to entrepreneurship for people, according to TOLO News. Dawood, a Kabul resident said, “Organizations that make these donations distribute to those who deserve it. Winter is coming and how will people get their fuel?”
Notably, Taliban completed two years since its takeover of Kabul in 2021. During this period, aid organizations have continuously expressed their concern about the increase in poverty as well as the lack of funds for the people.
The Goverment of India has partnered with United Nations World Food Programme (UNWFP) for the internal distribution of wheat within Afghanistan. “Under this partnership, India has supplied a total of 47,500 MTs of wheat assistance to UNWFP centres in Afghanistan. The recent ongoing shipments are being sent through Chabahar Port and being handed over to UNWFP at Herat in Afghanistan.
On Wednesday, United Nations World Food Programme (UNWFP) in Afghanistan thanked India for its help in providing life-saving food to 16 million people in the country. The generous contribution by the government of India has been acknowledged by the relevant stakeholders in Afghanistan, including UNWFP.
On the medical assistance side, India has so far supplied almost 200 tons of medical assistance consisting of essential medicines, COVID vaccines, anti-TB medicines and medical/surgical items like Pediatric Stethoscopes, Sphygmomanometer mobile type with pediatric BP cuffs, infusion pumps, drip chamber set, electrocautery, nylon sutures etc.
(Source : ndtv.com dated 17th August, 2023)